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Post by sonofccn » Wed Jun 17, 2009 12:16 pm

Mr. Oragahn wrote:Within the rest of Trek, yes, there is: the yields and expected effects.
There may or may not be evidence to disregard the example in TDIC and a handful of uber examples but no evidence to suggest those were exotic weapons.
Yes, within the episode's own reality. But my theory was presented to gap TDiC with the rest of Trek.
The thread was titled "In defense of TDiC" I think.
That's fine for your personal belief just like my personal belief regarding Trek firepower. It isn't valid to override clear examples however.
Yes, I can, and it's called consistency. If the majority establishes a region for weapon yields, then it's clear that outliers should be explained to fit with the reality of this range.
There is too much flexibility and examples across Trek for you to claim beyond a doubt that the majority, regardless if it gels with the series or not, is 80-100 megatons. Second even if true it doesn't mean the examples of higher firepower magicly go away or must be made to come in line with the other examples. They simply stay on their on tall sheets in case of additional examples are discovered/series created.

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Post by Mr. Oragahn » Thu Jun 18, 2009 2:02 pm

sonofccn wrote:
Mr. Oragahn wrote:Within the rest of Trek, yes, there is: the yields and expected effects.
There may or may not be evidence to disregard the example in TDIC and a handful of uber examples but no evidence to suggest those were exotic weapons.
How can you say that? The whole VFX looks nothing like a mundane explosion of a more basic weapon, and contrary to phasers that would be set on "weird effect" (NDF), there still are large phenomena that occur on the surface of the planet. No real scientific knowledge we hold to these days could explain what happened there. It's obviously exotic in a way or another.
Yes, within the episode's own reality. But my theory was presented to gap TDiC with the rest of Trek.
The thread was titled "In defense of TDiC" I think.
That's fine for your personal belief just like my personal belief regarding Trek firepower. It isn't valid to override clear examples however.
Indeed, which is not my methodology. I guess we're in for one more page before you acknowledge that for once. And of course, the difference between your belief and mine: yours doesn't try to bridge lower and average Trek with TDiC.
Yes, I can, and it's called consistency. If the majority establishes a region for weapon yields, then it's clear that outliers should be explained to fit with the reality of this range.
There is too much flexibility and examples across Trek for you to claim beyond a doubt that the majority, regardless if it gels with the series or not, is 80-100 megatons. Second even if true it doesn't mean the examples of higher firepower magicly go away or must be made to come in line with the other examples. They simply stay on their on tall sheets in case of additional examples are discovered/series created.
I does not matter. It could be 200-300 megatons or even a bit more (roughly what you get for Rise' much higher ends), it would still not fit with TDiC's supposed evidence of crude and brutal firepower which requires near teraton or over teraton yields, both for the assault fleet and claimed firepower for the Defiant.

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Post by sonofccn » Thu Jun 18, 2009 7:03 pm

Mr. Oragahn wrote:How can you say that? The whole VFX looks nothing like a mundane explosion of a more basic weapon, and contrary to phasers that would be set on "weird effect" (NDF), there still are large phenomena that occur on the surface of the planet. No real scientific knowledge we hold to these days could explain what happened there. It's obviously exotic in a way or another.
I can say that because there is nothing in dialog or script that suggests it that I know of. Photon torpedoes and plasma torpedoes are not chain reaction weapons and we don't know what phasers are beyond that they abuse the laws of physics on a regular basis. That the VFX effects are weird well it's a TV show. We can ignore that the same way we can ignore starships that transform between models in different shots.
Indeed, which is not my methodology. I guess we're in for one more page before you acknowledge that for once.
The thread is dead for the actual debate it was made for. We can quite at any time. I'll even give you final post. Now back to the matter at hand. You say you are not overiding clear examples right after you saw we must assume TDIC was a chain reaction weapon when nothing in the episode says so. We should just assume it shows megatonage firepower with some chain reaction thrown in to boost it. I call that overriding a clear example, through you may call it simply gelling.
And of course, the difference between your belief and mine: yours doesn't try to bridge lower and average Trek with TDiC.
Why would I do that? I don't erase, modify or ignore examples. Star trek V shows less firepower than a cannon that is just the way it is while Rise shows asteriod busting firepower which is much larger. I wouldn't try and come with a convulted explanation to say Star trek V torpedo and Risa are equal in yield, possibly involving "god" interaction, to gel the two examples.
I does not matter. It could be 200-300 megatons or even a bit more (roughly what you get for Rise' much higher ends), it would still not fit with TDiC's supposed evidence of crude and brutal firepower which requires near teraton or over teraton yields, both for the assault fleet and claimed firepower for the Defiant.
I never claimed TDIC is anything but an outlier, through it's hardly alone in that category, I don't simply say it must conform with what I feel best suits the verse in question. That's just the insane trek category. Then high Trek, low TDIC(DS9) Paradise syndrome the ENT shooting the giant asteriod( TOS) Masks and the reducing a large comet to the station/probe beneath(TNG). Then Normal Trek Rise (VOY) and Skin of Evil(TNG) then low Trek: ST:V and Alliance(Voy) pops to my mind instantly. I do not doubt that many if not all of the above have debates on the exact method, and yield observed but my point is that you can honestly obtain higher yields and lower yields which leads to Trek being all over the board. If you want to set up a scenario and use the 100 megaton plus or minus I got not problem with it, I'd agree with it. You want to argue for 100 megatons plus or minus again no problem with plenty of evidence to support it. The debate however is not settled nor is it a case of a few insane outliers being the only contrast with your figure.

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Post by Mr. Oragahn » Fri Jun 19, 2009 2:04 am

sonofccn wrote:
Mr. Oragahn wrote:How can you say that? The whole VFX looks nothing like a mundane explosion of a more basic weapon, and contrary to phasers that would be set on "weird effect" (NDF), there still are large phenomena that occur on the surface of the planet. No real scientific knowledge we hold to these days could explain what happened there. It's obviously exotic in a way or another.
I can say that because there is nothing in dialog or script that suggests it that I know of. Photon torpedoes and plasma torpedoes are not chain reaction weapons and we don't know what phasers are beyond that they abuse the laws of physics on a regular basis. That the VFX effects are weird well it's a TV show. We can ignore that the same way we can ignore starships that transform between models in different shots.

[...]

Now back to the matter at hand. You say you are not overiding clear examples right after you saw we must assume TDIC was a chain reaction weapon when nothing in the episode says so. We should just assume it shows megatonage firepower with some chain reaction thrown in to boost it. I call that overriding a clear example, through you may call it simply gelling.
That's an old argument I see crop up from time to time: unless it's written on some tactical screen or said by a character, it holds no value.
But I don't wait for characters to say that it's a chain reaction weapon when it could be and when nothing says it couldn't.
And of course, the difference between your belief and mine: yours doesn't try to bridge lower and average Trek with TDiC.
Why would I do that?
When you want to include as many events to a rather reliable range of firepoweri in a show where firepower is just thrown here as an after thought, if we want to believe we can get an idea of how powerful these weapons are, we must convene of a given range, an acceptable bracketed segment.
It's up to anyone to interpret TDiC as a demonstration of firepower in the neighbourhood of teratons, but then sit outside of many events that have been calculated, or find a way to drag it into that ensemble.
I don't erase, modify or ignore examples. Star trek V shows less firepower than a cannon that is just the way it is while Rise shows asteriod busting firepower which is much larger. I wouldn't try and come with a convulted explanation to say Star trek V torpedo and Risa are equal in yield, possibly involving "god" interaction, to gel the two examples.
And so you'd find yourself erasing, modifying or ignoring examples, unless you'd have no interest in pretending that there exist an acceptable range of firepower.
Of course, pretending divine intervention is absurd and makes the case just as worthless. Your obviously flawed logic would have a Trekkie not try to rationalize the car bomb explosion levels from the Borg Sphere in First Contact. And yet, in the double standard you're caught in, if same Trekkie would have said let's ignore this event then, you'd say no one has the right to do so, to erase, modify or ignore examples.
I does not matter. It could be 200-300 megatons or even a bit more (roughly what you get for Rise' much higher ends), it would still not fit with TDiC's supposed evidence of crude and brutal firepower which requires near teraton or over teraton yields, both for the assault fleet and claimed firepower for the Defiant.
I never claimed TDIC is anything but an outlier, through it's hardly alone in that category, I don't simply say it must conform with what I feel best suits the verse in question. That's just the insane trek category. Then high Trek, low TDIC(DS9) Paradise syndrome the ENT shooting the giant asteriod( TOS) Masks and the reducing a large comet to the station/probe beneath(TNG). Then Normal Trek Rise (VOY) and Skin of Evil(TNG) then low Trek: ST:V and Alliance(Voy) pops to my mind instantly. I do not doubt that many if not all of the above have debates on the exact method, and yield observed but my point is that you can honestly obtain higher yields and lower yields which leads to Trek being all over the board. If you want to set up a scenario and use the 100 megaton plus or minus I got not problem with it, I'd agree with it. You want to argue for 100 megatons plus or minus again no problem with plenty of evidence to support it. The debate however is not settled nor is it a case of a few insane outliers being the only contrast with your figure.
I don't necessarily go for 100 megatons, it's just a figure that seems to be a neighbour of calcs that show up here and there, and one that is a good average of the calcs of Rise, since some go below, some above. Figures can go up and down, but we need an anchor. It's just that they often fit in the xx/xxx megatons. It's also a convenient figure for a quick example that could be exported to other websites.
In versus debates, people aim for robust data, while ignoring outliers or explaining them as extremely exceptional.
That's just the way it's been for years, it works, and I'm fine with that.

Now, about other cases.
When mentionning The Paradise Syndrome, you're refering to that asteroid?
Were phasers the only used weapon? What happened to the asteroid?

Masks has far more issues than SoE and even TDiC. It's not consistent, and due to phasers that can drill through kilometers of rock in no time, this weapon's properties make estimations all the more random.

You could count the Cardassian ATR-4107 and its 2 tons warheads, 1 ton AM, 1 ton of matter, which a ship like Voyager couldn't stop, nor damage, and got threatened by.
The ship had its own warp core, several weapons, including experimental quantum torps, and a shield. The reasonning I had was that the ship's AM fuel reserves were negligible, as not considered worthwile in the mention of the device's total yield.

There's Sisko and O'Brien blowing up a Dominion asteroid base by transporting canisters filled with explosives into the base, aboard a Jemmy Bug I think. Sisko said they had to go as far as 800 km away from the explosion, but the visuals showed the first explosions (the bombs) being paltry, only followed by a bigger explosion which we could only deem to be largely fed by the base itself. Since it was shielded, we can safely consider that the energy that vapourized the asteroid was similar to the energies that vapourized the shielded asteroid that was powering a Dominion platform defense grid.
The safe distance would then make sense as an absolute safety prerequisite, but I think that when the asteroid exploded, the Defiant was not that far away.

WILGA started a thread showing a cargo equipped with some weapons (here), one which proved that a Klingon BoP which had her shields down, could take severe damage either from tens to hundreds of kilotons weapon (if you consider that the asteroid was largely melted) or from hundreds of kilotons to low one digit megatons weapons (if you consider most of the asteroid was vapourized on the second shot, but Leo1 from SBC reminded me that we see many fiery debris kicked away), notably with a hit on two in a "soft spot", and clearly force it to flee.
Besides, these were supposed to be planetary defense disruptors, so with a capacity to deliver their payload over long ranges.
Do we generally see battles wherein ships's shields take like a thousand times what their hulls can cope with? I'm not so sure. JMS cited the battle against the Scimitar, and that only involved the Enterprise' full load of torps, which would most likely be not too far from what the E-D had, perhaps a bit more.
Many torps also were wasted by entirely missing the Scimitar.
When you watch the battle, you see that the unshielded Enterprise is not raped by the same weapons which brought her shields down just a second before.
Judging by the battle, it seems rather clear that the Scimitar was an exception, with exceptionally better shields than what her hull could cope with, considering how the E-E got wedged into it.

Perhaps on another hand, we have ENT and its BoPs having all energy maxed out on forward shields, which ignored the NX-01's photonic torpedoes, but this came at the price of having minimal rear shielding, and two torps were enough to seriously damage it.
And when it comes to talk about the yield of these torpedoes, now I clearly reject the idea that 50 MT is a clear cut figure that would suffer no arguing (here's why). When gravitational binding energy is used for calculation of planet pulverization, everybody's fine with that. However, when using Wong's calculator, the gravitational binding energy numbers returned for a 3 km wide asteroid are 6.9 kilotons for rock granite and 78.7 kilotons for nickel iron. We know that an asteroid doesn't need to be a solid mass of tightly packed molecules. If you really look for a conservative figure, and you consider the model of aggregated rubble, it's obviously going to take more than the GBI figures, but likely not a tonne more, so to speak.
Meanwhile, the fragmentation figure for igneous rock is 27 megatons for a 3 km asteroid, with an internally buried charge. Split that for just a crater, and that's 13.5 megatons, and on one ever said you need to put a hole into a crater with only leaving 10 meters wide debris.
Finally, the Golevka simulation proved that a central 10 MT charge not only fragmented the asteroid, but literally vapourized its core. What was most interesting with that sim is how it also highlights the importance of momentum. If you see an asteroid hit by a SF weapon, that doesn't get vapourized but breaks into many parts, ejected at high speeds, you obviously understand that this asteroid was just asking to be cracked.
So the cratering figures become very different and much lower with brittle asteroids, because you're mainly couting on the shockwave to move matter away without relying on overkill vapourizing or melting.

There has also been the NX-01 and her sister ship engaging a Klingon BoP, largely relying on the phase cannons.

Also, going back to battle systems, ship defenses and weapons advanced a great deal over the centuries, explaining alt reality episodes, like In A Mirror Darkly, with the E-NIL being unchallenged, but I remember that in many times, the NX-01 engaged alien ships with phase cannons and still seemed to be worth the shot. As we saw in the episode, the E-NIL obviously quickly wiped enemy ships, but it's not like these enemy ships were exceptionally potent against the NX-01 either, and it still took several pulses or torpedoes to take down the Vulcan ship. The torps used against the asteroid station didn't seem that powerful either against the rocky surface, but perhaps a minimal shielding was in place. Besides, the E-NIL didn't one shot her targets. The humble NX-01 took several direct shots before falling.

There's also an ENT episode that has a ship, perhaps the NX-01, fire a blue kind of torp at a sort of base surrounded by blue mountains of some sort. What episode was that?

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Post by l33telboi » Fri Jun 19, 2009 2:53 pm

Mr. Oragahn wrote:Meanwhile, the fragmentation figure for igneous rock is 27 megatons for a 3 km asteroid, with an internally buried charge. Split that for just a crater, and that's 13.5 megatons, and on one ever said you need to put a hole into a crater with only leaving 10 meters wide debris.
Ever heard the saying about the firecracker and the hand? Put a firecracker in the palm of your hand and it will do nothing. Close your fist around it and you'll need a doctor to pry it open. You can't use asteroid fragmentation calculators to try to get the energy involved in cratering. They're two different things.

On the other hand, there is a formula for calculating crater width, and it works perfectly in conjunction with this asteroid incident, and I believe you know exactly which formula that is.
Finally, the Golevka simulation proved that a central 10 MT charge not only fragmented the asteroid, but literally vapourized its core. What was most interesting with that sim is how it also highlights the importance of momentum.
Again, a centrally buried explosive in a much smaller asteroid. You can’t compare that to a surface detonation on a larger asteroid.
Also, going back to battle systems, ship defenses and weapons advanced a great deal over the centuries, explaining alt reality episodes, like In A Mirror Darkly, with the E-NIL being unchallenged, but I remember that in many times, the NX-01 engaged alien ships with phase cannons and still seemed to be worth the shot.
The NX-01 in the mirror-verse had pulse-phasers. Completely different weapons from the beam-like phasers on the regular NX-01.
The torps used against the asteroid station didn't seem that powerful either against the rocky surface, but perhaps a minimal shielding was in place.
Or then they just didn't fire torpedoes at a greater yield then was necessary. And IIRC, those torps hit the metal bits built into the station, not the asteroid.
Besides, the E-NIL didn't one shot her targets. The humble NX-01 took several direct shots before falling.
Watch the entire episode. The E-NIL one-shotted two Andorian warships with phasers, and in the regular verse, Andorian ships are much more powerful then the NX-class vessels. Either the NX-01 in this verse is much more powerful then in the original verse, which is very possible given the more warlike nature of the Empire, or then the weapons on the E-NILL just weren't firing at their full potential.

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Post by sonofccn » Fri Jun 19, 2009 5:20 pm

Mr. Oragahn wrote:That's an old argument I see crop up from time to time: unless it's written on some tactical screen or said by a character, it holds no value.
But I don't wait for characters to say that it's a chain reaction weapon when it could be and when nothing says it couldn't.
Is there anything to back this up besides A) the VFX not looking like a "realistic" bombardment should and B) showing TT worths of firepower?

When you want to include as many events to a rather reliable range of firepoweri in a show where firepower is just thrown here as an after thought, if we want to believe we can get an idea of how powerful these weapons are, we must convene of a given range, an acceptable bracketed segment.
It's up to anyone to interpret TDiC as a demonstration of firepower in the neighbourhood of teratons, but then sit outside of many events that have been calculated, or find a way to drag it into that ensemble.
I"d rather keep it apart and as an insane firepower figure instead of trying to make it fit with a lower example.
And so you'd find yourself erasing, modifying or ignoring examples, unless you'd have no interest in pretending that there exist an acceptable range of firepower.
Eh? I am not erasing, modifying or ignoring examples. I don't pretend V fits with Rise or that Rise makes sense compared to TDIC. I simply log the results.
Of course, pretending divine intervention is absurd and makes the case just as worthless.
You realize I was just trying to point out the flaw in trying to gel examples. It is absurd and I realize it.
Your obviously flawed logic would have a Trekkie not try to rationalize the car bomb explosion levels from the Borg Sphere in First Contact. And yet, in the double standard you're caught in, if same Trekkie would have said let's ignore this event then, you'd say no one has the right to do so, to erase, modify or ignore examples.
Debate involving exactly what we see in first contact is of course open to debate but it is not an example of mind blowing firepower example no matter what. It is not a double standard to expect that to be logged as such and compared to the rest of the archive of examples. I believe megatonage and greater examples far out number the cannon ball yields.
I don't necessarily go for 100 megatons, it's just a figure that seems to be a neighbour of calcs that show up here and there, and one that is a good average of the calcs of Rise, since some go below, some above. Figures can go up and down, but we need an anchor. It's just that they often fit in the xx/xxx megatons. It's also a convenient figure for a quick example that could be exported to other websites.
In versus debates, people aim for robust data, while ignoring outliers or explaining them as extremely exceptional.
That's just the way it's been for years, it works, and I'm fine with that.
The differnce between us is what is considered outliers I guess.
Now, about other cases.
When mentionning The Paradise Syndrome, you're refering to that asteroid?
Were phasers the only used weapon? What happened to the asteroid?
Yes that asteriod. As far as I know the Enterprise fired phasers at normal power at melted some of it before firing again at a dangerous level before realizing they couldn't destroy it. The asteroid was defeated after the in dangered planet's Preserver delfector screen was activated, super advanced race that apparently never developed automated controls :)
Masks has far more issues than SoE and even TDiC. It's not consistent, and due to phasers that can drill through kilometers of rock in no time, this weapon's properties make estimations all the more random.
As I said debatable but it is a valid example. To remove the ice in that span of time requires a certain amount of energy the only real concern is that phasers are wonky in regards to physics.
You could count the Cardassian ATR-4107 and its 2 tons warheads, 1 ton AM, 1 ton of matter, which a ship like Voyager couldn't stop, nor damage, and got threatened by.
The ship had its own warp core, several weapons, including experimental quantum torps, and a shield. The reasonning I had was that the ship's AM fuel reserves were negligible, as not considered worthwile in the mention of the device's total yield.
I may be recalling the wrong cardassian super torpedo but wasn't that thing rated to blow up planets? So it's warp core and self-defense weapons would be a tiny dollop compared to it.
WILGA started a thread showing a cargo equipped with some weapons (here), one which proved that a Klingon BoP which had her shields down, could take severe damage either from tens to hundreds of kilotons weapon (if you consider that the asteroid was largely melted) or from hundreds of kilotons to low one digit megatons weapons (if you consider most of the asteroid was vapourized on the second shot, but Leo1 from SBC reminded me that we see many fiery debris kicked away), notably with a hit on two in a "soft spot", and clearly force it to flee.
Besides, these were supposed to be planetary defense disruptors, so with a capacity to deliver their payload over long ranges.
Do we generally see battles wherein ships's shields take like a thousand times what their hulls can cope with? I'm not so sure. JMS cited the battle against the Scimitar, and that only involved the Enterprise' full load of torps, which would most likely be not too far from what the E-D had, perhaps a bit more.
Many torps also were wasted by entirely missing the Scimitar.
When you watch the battle, you see that the unshielded Enterprise is not raped by the same weapons which brought her shields down just a second before.
Judging by the battle, it seems rather clear that the Scimitar was an exception, with exceptionally better shields than what her hull could cope with, considering how the E-E got wedged into it.
I'm not sure if it's thousands but in Trek they are faily consistent that a shieldless vessel is pretty easy prey. Hence why it is a semi-common tactic to "surrender" and fire a torpedo or two at the shieldless enemy as they try and board.
There's also an ENT episode that has a ship, perhaps the NX-01, fire a blue kind of torp at a sort of base surrounded by blue mountains of some sort. What episode was that?
I'm afraid I can't place it from the description. If you could recall the basic plot outline?

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Post by Mike DiCenso » Sat Jun 20, 2009 2:34 am

Mr. Oragahn wrote: There's also an ENT episode that has a ship, perhaps the NX-01, fire a blue kind of torp at a sort of base surrounded by blue mountains of some sort. What episode was that?
sonofccn wrote: I'm afraid I can't place it from the description. If you could recall the basic plot outline?
Sounds like the Constitution class U.S.S. Defiant blasting the Tholian base in the episode "In A Mirror, Darkly, Part 2". In that scene, the Defiant hits the base itself, not the asteroid it is constructed on and the scene cuts away before we can see the full effects of the torpedoes, so as a gauge for firepower, it's pretty useless.
-Mike

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Post by Mr. Oragahn » Sat Jun 20, 2009 5:15 pm

sonofccn wrote:
Mr. Oragahn wrote:That's an old argument I see crop up from time to time: unless it's written on some tactical screen or said by a character, it holds no value.
But I don't wait for characters to say that it's a chain reaction weapon when it could be and when nothing says it couldn't.
Is there anything to back this up besides A) the VFX not looking like a "realistic" bombardment should and B) showing TT worths of firepower?
Why do you ask me that? It's rather obvious that I think yes, since I did defend such a theory. For the meat of the theory, try looking for TDiC and protomatter on this forum.
When you want to include as many events to a rather reliable range of firepoweri in a show where firepower is just thrown here as an after thought, if we want to believe we can get an idea of how powerful these weapons are, we must convene of a given range, an acceptable bracketed segment.
It's up to anyone to interpret TDiC as a demonstration of firepower in the neighbourhood of teratons, but then sit outside of many events that have been calculated, or find a way to drag it into that ensemble.
I"d rather keep it apart and as an insane firepower figure instead of trying to make it fit with a lower example.
Well, OK. I prefer to think that the more can be brought to the central body the better. It makes things look more consistent.
And so you'd find yourself erasing, modifying or ignoring examples, unless you'd have no interest in pretending that there exist an acceptable range of firepower.
Eh? I am not erasing, modifying or ignoring examples. I don't pretend V fits with Rise or that Rise makes sense compared to TDIC. I simply log the results.
The "results" are pretty much nothing more than an interpretation. Interpreting TDiC, in this case, is particularly open ended, so anything you log is as not firm as it could get with, say, asteroid destruction events.
Of course, pretending divine intervention is absurd and makes the case just as worthless.
You realize I was just trying to point out the flaw in trying to gel examples. It is absurd and I realize it.
Only if you think so. I happen to think that some examples, which you prefer to leave as outliers which will never fit with the main sequence branch (out of mainly accepted canonical figures), can be "explained back" into that branch with what Trek has already established.
This conciliation methodology cannot occur, of course, without first trying to understand all possible interpretations of an event. We don't happen to just forcedly cram an event by all means without really trying to understand all the ways it could be interpreted.
When conciliation is just too impossible, as I said, the outlier is ignored. Logged, but ignored.
Your obviously flawed logic would have a Trekkie not try to rationalize the car bomb explosion levels from the Borg Sphere in First Contact. And yet, in the double standard you're caught in, if same Trekkie would have said let's ignore this event then, you'd say no one has the right to do so, to erase, modify or ignore examples.
Debate involving exactly what we see in first contact is of course open to debate but it is not an example of mind blowing firepower example no matter what. It is not a double standard to expect that to be logged as such and compared to the rest of the archive of examples. I believe megatonage and greater examples far out number the cannon ball yields.
And how is that not ending in ignoring the lone outlier in favour of the main body of logged results? Right, it's exactly that.
I never had any problem admitting to ignore things which just can't fit with the main body of evidence. You on the other hand were caught on a quest against such a thing, against me saying that I decided that I dismissed certain cases. I repeatedly said that I didn't do it just because I was in bad mood or some nonsense like that, but because I worked on it.
Look, you can't even admit right now that you're ignoring offtrack "logged" results as a consequence of your position of very rarely trying to fit obvious distant outliers into the main sequence, despite precisely describing this very course of action in your last post.

Perhaps you may have needed to voice your stance differently, it could have been clearer from the beginning and avoid what has, after all, largely been a pointless exchange in the end.
I don't necessarily go for 100 megatons, it's just a figure that seems to be a neighbour of calcs that show up here and there, and one that is a good average of the calcs of Rise, since some go below, some above. Figures can go up and down, but we need an anchor. It's just that they often fit in the xx/xxx megatons. It's also a convenient figure for a quick example that could be exported to other websites.
In versus debates, people aim for robust data, while ignoring outliers or explaining them as extremely exceptional.
That's just the way it's been for years, it works, and I'm fine with that.
The differnce between us is what is considered outliers I guess.
There's no mystery on what defines outliers as long as you know what the main body of "evidence" is.
I don't even know what yours is. Perhaps it should be time you lay down your cards as well?
Now, about other cases.
When mentionning The Paradise Syndrome, you're refering to that asteroid?
Were phasers the only used weapon? What happened to the asteroid?
Yes that asteriod. As far as I know the Enterprise fired phasers at normal power at melted some of it before firing again at a dangerous level before realizing they couldn't destroy it. The asteroid was defeated after the in dangered planet's Preserver delfector screen was activated, super advanced race that apparently never developed automated controls :)
Sorry, it seems that some of your thoughts didn't make it completely into your posts.
Do you mean the asteroid was finally destroyed? By what? How?
Masks has far more issues than SoE and even TDiC. It's not consistent, and due to phasers that can drill through kilometers of rock in no time, this weapon's properties make estimations all the more random.
As I said debatable but it is a valid example. To remove the ice in that span of time requires a certain amount of energy the only real concern is that phasers are wonky in regards to physics.
The span of time is not even consistent, and that's just one of the problems. I recall I talked about Masks in some old thread in that subsection, with NX-01 versus nBSG's Pegasus I think.
You say it's valid. I say it's not, because it's full of extremely variable parameters and holes.
You could count the Cardassian ATR-4107 and its 2 tons warheads, 1 ton AM, 1 ton of matter, which a ship like Voyager couldn't stop, nor damage, and got threatened by.
The ship had its own warp core, several weapons, including experimental quantum torps, and a shield. The reasonning I had was that the ship's AM fuel reserves were negligible, as not considered worthwile in the mention of the device's total yield.
I may be recalling the wrong cardassian super torpedo but wasn't that thing rated to blow up planets? So it's warp core and self-defense weapons would be a tiny dollop compared to it.
It was in fact told to be capable to destroy small moons.
Saturn has quite a lot of small moons, Helene being aroudn 10 miles wide, looking like a cigar, and it's generally thought they're mainly icy.
A piece of cake for a 2 digits multi gigaton baby.
WILGA started a thread showing a cargo equipped with some weapons (here), one which proved that a Klingon BoP which had her shields down, could take severe damage either from tens to hundreds of kilotons weapon (if you consider that the asteroid was largely melted) or from hundreds of kilotons to low one digit megatons weapons (if you consider most of the asteroid was vapourized on the second shot, but Leo1 from SBC reminded me that we see many fiery debris kicked away), notably with a hit on two in a "soft spot", and clearly force it to flee.
Besides, these were supposed to be planetary defense disruptors, so with a capacity to deliver their payload over long ranges.
Do we generally see battles wherein ships's shields take like a thousand times what their hulls can cope with? I'm not so sure. JMS cited the battle against the Scimitar, and that only involved the Enterprise' full load of torps, which would most likely be not too far from what the E-D had, perhaps a bit more.
Many torps also were wasted by entirely missing the Scimitar.
When you watch the battle, you see that the unshielded Enterprise is not raped by the same weapons which brought her shields down just a second before.
Judging by the battle, it seems rather clear that the Scimitar was an exception, with exceptionally better shields than what her hull could cope with, considering how the E-E got wedged into it.
I'm not sure if it's thousands but in Trek they are faily consistent that a shieldless vessel is pretty easy prey. Hence why it is a semi-common tactic to "surrender" and fire a torpedo or two at the shieldless enemy as they try and board.
Example. But this is not happening between ships of the same strength either.
Yet we've rarely seen an enemy ship of similar tonnage need to take even most of the full load of torpedoes of an enemy ship, and direct torp hits on unshielded hulls have dramatic effects on these heavy ships, but they not always obliterate them either.

I'd waged a ratio, which is where a ship is taken down by 1-3 torps, but shields can perhaps take a dozen times this. I don't get an impression of über shileds in comparison to hull strength from battles in DS9 for example. Khan's ruined ship took a torp in the face, so did the Enterprise iirc, and they didn't blow up all of sudden.
There's also an ENT episode that has a ship, perhaps the NX-01, fire a blue kind of torp at a sort of base surrounded by blue mountains of some sort. What episode was that?
I'm afraid I can't place it from the description. If you could recall the basic plot outline?
Nothing. I just have seen this from a short video on YT. It's from ENT.
It's a top down view of a projectile headed for a base of some sort, composed of some two or three large circular sections, and linked by arms.

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Post by Mr. Oragahn » Sat Jun 20, 2009 5:37 pm

l33telboi wrote:
Mr. Oragahn wrote:Meanwhile, the fragmentation figure for igneous rock is 27 megatons for a 3 km asteroid, with an internally buried charge. Split that for just a crater, and that's 13.5 megatons, and on one ever said you need to put a hole into a crater with only leaving 10 meters wide debris.
Ever heard the saying about the firecracker and the hand? Put a firecracker in the palm of your hand and it will do nothing. Close your fist around it and you'll need a doctor to pry it open. You can't use asteroid fragmentation calculators to try to get the energy involved in cratering. They're two different things.
It's why I said it's in between. There's obviously work that needs to be done, but we're looking at an explosion on the surface of a rubble pile asteroid in zero g.

Also, I noticed that it's often forgotten that torpedoes can slam into their naturally composed targets, and detonate inside. Their speed and momentum alone would allow them to smash at great speeds into these asteroids. Perhaps ENT torps were not that tough or advanced though, or more sensible, but this happened in TNG, and should not be forgotten.
Depending on the speed at which the torpedo impacts, it's subject to penetration of its target. The presence of a strong casing and shields largely supports the idea that torpedoes could penetrate their target unless stopped by particular alloys or defensive fields.

However, for this case, we shall assume a form of primitiveness for the torpedo, and strictly consider a detonation as the torpedo explodes on contact.
On the other hand, there is a formula for calculating crater width, and it works perfectly in conjunction with this asteroid incident, and I believe you know exactly which formula that is.
I probably read it among a great many boom formulas. I was looking for one that is about craters on asteroids though, and how matter is compressed and ejected.

Most formulas I've seen involving detonating a nuclear explosion on the surface of a typical rock/dust soil.
Still, I got one that returns 36 MT for a 3 km wide crater on the moon: E = 4*e15*D^3, where D is the diameter in kilometers.
This is already below 50 MT, and we're still talking about the tightly packed mass of the moon and its gravitational field.
There are many different equations for such cases, and in general, formulas often give nuclear charges and impacts similar effects in terms of crater formation, assuming the impactor is not too large so its own volume doesn't change much the variables of mass.
But we shall not stop here, since the parameters of the equation do not fit with our case.
Finally, the Golevka simulation proved that a central 10 MT charge not only fragmented the asteroid, but literally vapourized its core. What was most interesting with that sim is how it also highlights the importance of momentum.
Again, a centrally buried explosive in a much smaller asteroid. You can’t compare that to a surface detonation on a larger asteroid.
They're obviously different scenarii, but the point is the Golevka simulation shows overkill effects which are not necessary, including the complete vapourization of the core, a roughly 200 meters wide sphere.
That's why the Sedan test was interesting. Due to the depth of the position of the charge, the crust had most of the nuke's energy deflected upwards, fighting against gravity.
But it also melted down to 246 meters, while the charge was placed 194 meters below the surface. The dome raised above 90 meters before breaching.
Obviously the yield will increase as the crater does, but this was rather interesting for a 104 Kt device, when you considered a buried charge as we know torps are capable of, and how much matter it could move and destroy while fighting against Earth's gravity and the density of the surrounding matter.

A great many deal of equations found left and right largely predate, either by a decade or much more, the equations Wong used for his calculator for cratering energies: The Coupling of Energy to Asteroids and Comets, 1994.
M. Wong wrote:Cratering energy is the energy required to blast out a crater of depth equal to the radius of the asteroid, which should easily result in its catastrophic disruption. It is calculated based on bulk property data collated from material testing experiments, and extrapolated using numerical modelling techniques based on terrestrial cratering experiments. From "Energy Coupling to Asteroids and Comets", by B.P. Shafer et al., the thermophysical properties for hard granite asteroids are density = 2650 kg/m³, UTS = 374 MPa, and cratering depth = 88.4 m/kT^(1/3).
From the same source, the thermophysical properties for nickel-iron asteroids are density = 7856 kg/m³, UTS = 600 MPa, and cratering depth = 29.8 m/kT^(1/3).
And finally, the thermophysical properties for ice asteroids are density = 917 kg/m³, UTS = 17.5 MPa, and cratering depth = 138.4 m/kT^(1/3). Note that soft shale has a cratering depth equal to that of granite, so the granite cratering figures can be used for silicaceous asteroids in general.
And that returns 4.9, 127.5 and 1.3 megatons respectively for granite (2330 kg/m³), nickel-iron (7870 kg/m³) and ice (900 kg/m³), all for a 1.5 km depth. And that's assuming he meant the crater created by the explosion, in contrast to the final crater that will be obviously larger than it's deep.

Most interestingly, Johndale C. Solem, in his "COMET AND ASTEROID HAZARDS: THREAT AND MITIGATION" document for The Tsunami Society journal, presented a series of results for numerous calculations about the energies and method involved in deflecting asteroids of various sizes.
    • Image
If I'm not mistaken, he worked from a density which was above 3 g/cm³ for the impacted asteroid, which was modeled as an ensemble of several frictionless spheroids (components). We notice that the fewer the components, the greater the yield allowed for maximum deflection before breaking the asteroid. A "rubble pile" type asteroid would more than likely involve a considerable quantity of "components", while a single component asteroid would be a solid piece.

What we see is that with 13 components, the maximum allowed yield before breaking a 3 km wide asteroid is 9 megatons. It drops to 4 megatons for 135 components. Notice that we're talking about the threshold before breaking an entire asteroid with a single surface burst, not just a half like it would happen for a crater.

It's also important to note that several asteroids of various masses, from e15 to e19 kg and more, have been estimated as having bulk densities (porosity counted in the volume) around 1.25~1.3 kg/m³, sometimes a bit more, sometimes a bit less.
Several examples of asteroids of varying composition, not necessarily the smallest, have the following sizes (in km) and bulk densities (g/cm³):
Asteroid Density, Porosity, and Structure wrote:

Code: Select all

Eunomia         255.3 ± 15.0       0.96 ± 0.3
Eugenia         214.6 ± 4.2        1.2 +0.6 -0.2
Antiope         120.07 ± 4.0       1.3
Mathilde        53.02              1.3 ± 0.2
It's still twice less than the figure used for granite, in the tightly packed model of Wong's calculator, which did not incorporate porous structures.
Also, for a conservative stance, the asteroids with high concentration of ice would be chosen. I'm not able to check out if there are porous ice formations, though, but nevertheless, this would provide the lowest acceptable figure.
We happen to see that the results from Wong's calculator and Solem's calculations happen to both stand in the lower half of the one digit megaton range.

I'll keep working on this if I can, but I'm becoming more and more certain that 50 MT is certainly not the correct number at all, and much too high for the 3 km wide crater in an asteroid.

Most interestingly, these low megatons are in the range of the results obtained from the Groumall incident. When you also look at how both BoP reacted to the attacks, one, unshielded, hit with weapons reaching at most low 1-digit megaton, suffering severe damage but still fit for flight after two disruptor shots, and the other, with minimal shielding at the aft, broken into several pieces after being hit by photonic torps, we're clearly within a range of yields that works.
Logically, if you go with the higher numbers for the Groumall case, then the newer BoP can almost take to the hull (including one hit in a soft spot) and fly away to what utterly pulverized a BoP in ENT, with minimal shielding.

Also, going back to battle systems, ship defenses and weapons advanced a great deal over the centuries, explaining alt reality episodes, like In A Mirror Darkly, with the E-NIL being unchallenged, but I remember that in many times, the NX-01 engaged alien ships with phase cannons and still seemed to be worth the shot.
The NX-01 in the mirror-verse had pulse-phasers. Completely different weapons from the beam-like phasers on the regular NX-01.
OK. For some reason I remembered the evil NX-01 firing beams as well.
Pulses. That's also what the E-NIL was firing, right? Because it didn't look like pulses. Although it looked like quantum torpedoes.
The torps used against the asteroid station didn't seem that powerful either against the rocky surface, but perhaps a minimal shielding was in place.
Or then they just didn't fire torpedoes at a greater yield then was necessary. And IIRC, those torps hit the metal bits built into the station, not the asteroid.
Which would make sense. I thought the last shot did hit rock, but it's not clear enough, so I'm actually happier that there's room to pretend it had it metal. It just makes the situation clearer.
Besides, the E-NIL didn't one shot her targets. The humble NX-01 took several direct shots before falling.
Watch the entire episode. The E-NIL one-shotted two Andorian warships with phasers, and in the regular verse, Andorian ships are much more powerful then the NX-class vessels. Either the NX-01 in this verse is much more powerful then in the original verse, which is very possible given the more warlike nature of the Empire, or then the weapons on the E-NILL just weren't firing at their full potential.
The ISS NX-01 was chased by several ships, including a Vulcan ship which took several "pulse" shots to go down (contrary to the Andorian ships). Either the Andorian ships in that verse were not as good, or the ISS NX-01 was superior.

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Post by l33telboi » Sun Jun 21, 2009 6:42 pm

Mr. Oragahn wrote:It's why I said it's in between. There's obviously work that needs to be done, but we're looking at an explosion on the surface of a rubble pile asteroid in zero g.
What you did was divide the figure with two - and that was it. If you want to say it's in any way accurate, then show me a source that validates that methodology.
Also, I noticed that it's often forgotten that torpedoes can slam into their naturally composed targets, and detonate inside. Their speed and momentum alone would allow them to smash at great speeds into these asteroids.
No such thing is mentioned. Neither do I believe a photonic torp could burrow into an asteroid. Perhaps a centimeter or two, but that's just about it.
The presence of a strong casing and shields largely supports the idea that torpedoes could penetrate their target unless stopped by particular alloys or defensive fields.
Photonic torps don't have shields. Not even the ships during this era have shields.
Most formulas I've seen involving detonating a nuclear explosion on the surface of a typical rock/dust soil.
The formula I'm talking about let's you adjust what type of composition the asteroid is made of, and it assumes zero gee. You can't find a better suited formula because there quite simply is none. It fits every single parameter we need it to fit.
They're obviously different scenarii, but the point is the Golevka simulation shows overkill effects which are not necessary, including the complete vapourization of the core, a roughly 200 meters wide sphere.
That's why the Sedan test was interesting. Due to the depth of the position of the charge, the crust had most of the nuke's energy deflected upwards, fighting against gravity.
But it also melted down to 246 meters, while the charge was placed 194 meters below the surface. The dome raised above 90 meters before breaching.
Obviously the yield will increase as the crater does, but this was rather interesting for a 104 Kt device, when you considered a buried charge as we know torps are capable of, and how much matter it could move and destroy while fighting against Earth's gravity and the density of the surrounding matter.
Again, these cases have nothing in common with what we're talking about here. They're completly different in almost every way possible.
And that returns 4.9, 127.5 and 1.3 megatons respectively for granite (2330 kg/m³), nickel-iron (7870 kg/m³) and ice (900 kg/m³), all for a 1.5 km depth. And that's assuming he meant the crater created by the explosion, in contrast to the final crater that will be obviously larger than it's deep.
Crater depth, not width. The caculator we used gauged width. It's also much more recent the Wong's formula. It's also in widespread use.
OK. For some reason I remembered the evil NX-01 firing beams as well. Pulses. That's also what the E-NIL was firing, right? Because it didn't look like pulses. Although it looked like quantum torpedoes.
No, the E-NIL fires normal beam-like phasers. The blue balls were torpedoes.

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Post by Jedi Master Spock » Sun Jun 21, 2009 7:25 pm

Mr. Oragahn wrote:The ISS NX-01 was chased by several ships, including a Vulcan ship which took several "pulse" shots to go down (contrary to the Andorian ships). Either the Andorian ships in that verse were not as good, or the ISS NX-01 was superior.
I'm inclined towards the latter. It looks more heavily armed, and you might remember that humans hijacked the Vulcan ship and somehow managed to enslave the Vulcans; accordingly, they were getting the full benefit of Vulcan technical expertise, instead of the Vulcans holding out on them as they did in the main timeline.

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Post by Mike DiCenso » Sun Jun 21, 2009 9:22 pm

We have to be careful here as the first time we see the NX-09 Avenger and the other aforementioned starships, it was towards the end of a major battle that saw a total defeat for the Terran Empire (note the wreckage the ships pass of the TE starships). When the Defiant comes into this the Avenger is near on her last legs, while the Constitution class starship is at full power. When the Avenger and Defiant duel later on, the Defiant is still powering up when it starts to paste the hell out of the Avenger.

In all cases, both the NX-01 and the NX-09 fire only the pulse beam weapons, not the continuous beams of the regular phase cannons. While clearly more advanced than their regular universe counterparts, they still lack shields and must rely on polarizing the hull plating for defense.
-Mike

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Post by Mr. Oragahn » Fri Jun 26, 2009 11:14 pm

l33telboi wrote:
Mr. Oragahn wrote:It's why I said it's in between. There's obviously work that needs to be done, but we're looking at an explosion on the surface of a rubble pile asteroid in zero g.
What you did was divide the figure with two - and that was it. If you want to say it's in any way accurate, then show me a source that validates that methodology.
What the initial figure is about is the energy necessary to shatter the entirety of an asteroid of x meters. It comes as logical that removing half of the matter would make the figure lower for the energy required to move the mass. Now, we're talking about a crater, a part of the volume of the crater will not escape into space, but be pressed into the asteroid. The rubble pile model is that the structure is fragile and brittle. A shockwave would shatter it, but the pressure would pancake the material. With further reading about the composition and behaviour of porous asteroids, it appeared that craters also form with considerable pressure, increasing the density of matter around "ground zero" by getting rid of a large quantity of the porosity, without involving melting. Ejecta also occurs.
It's a very crude figure, but I never settled on it as a firm value, just to get a quick rough idea of where we were heading for.
Also, I noticed that it's often forgotten that torpedoes can slam into their naturally composed targets, and detonate inside. Their speed and momentum alone would allow them to smash at great speeds into these asteroids.
No such thing is mentioned. Neither do I believe a photonic torp could burrow into an asteroid. Perhaps a centimeter or two, but that's just about it.
Later torpedoes, like in TNG, have been seen entering a dying red star and an episode did involving torpedoes slamming into the crust and somehow going deeper. It was an episode with a planet having another structural issue.

Also, the degree of penetration depends on the variety of the trigger. The Cardassian moon destroyer was said to use a kinetic trigger, I think considered something rather crude, so torpedoes possibly come with high quality proxy fuses.
The presence of a strong casing and shields largely supports the idea that torpedoes could penetrate their target unless stopped by particular alloys or defensive fields.
Photonic torps don't have shields. Not even the ships during this era have shields.
The Klingon's ships have shields, and the Terrans already had hull polarization. They were handed torpedo technology iirc.

Nevertheless, the torpedoes glow, so there's obviously a strong field of some kind and I see no reason to consider them unshielded.
Most formulas I've seen involving detonating a nuclear explosion on the surface of a typical rock/dust soil.
The formula I'm talking about let's you adjust what type of composition the asteroid is made of, and it assumes zero gee. You can't find a better suited formula because there quite simply is none. It fits every single parameter we need it to fit.
Because it seems to have all necessary parameters does not mean it's correct, nor the only one that would work.
I actually retrived the original thread wherein the formula was first presented.
http://forums.spacebattles.com/showthre ... 610&page=2
I happened to post in it for a brief time, but either was too focused on Star Wars and missed the Star Trek part, or didn't pay much attetion to that thread at that time beyond my quick jump (seems to be the case).

Let me quote the exchange between you and higbvuyb:
l33telboi wrote:Oh yes. Always. Isynic dug up a formula for how big a carter would be created by a given yield bomb back in the “NX-01 vs. Whitestar” thread. Scaling laws for surface explosions give a value of 5x10^-3 meters/J(1/3), and in this case the diameter is 3000m, so dividing the diameter with this value we get 600,000J^(1/3) which is 2.16e17J, or 51 megatons.
higbvuyb wrote:From my research, from modelling and empirical evidence, crater depth varies as the one-quarter(th?) power as yield goes above 1 megaton due to significant gravitational effects.
l33telboi wrote:Could you elaborate a little? Assuming we're talking about 600,000J^(1/4), it would mean the yield we increase even further. A little too high.
higbvuyb wrote:http://glasstone.blogspot.com/
This is a very comprehensive resource for nuclear weapons in general.
Other revisions have been discussed in a variety of blog posts, particularly http://glasstone.blogspot.com/2006/0...last-wave.html which explains that the entire cratering model used in Glasstone and Dolan is obsolete for high yields, because it ignores the conservation of energy. This was only discovered in 1987. The yield-dependent scaling for crater dimensions (radius and depth) transitions from the cube-root of yield scaling at low yields (below about 1 kt or so) to fourth-root at high yields (above 10 Mt or so) because of gravity. At low yields, the fraction of cratering energy used to physically dump ejecta out of the crater against gravity (to produce the surrounding lip and debris) is trivial compared to the amount of energy used to physically break up the soil. This hydrodynamic effect means that at very low yields, crater dimensions scale (like blast overpressure ranges) with the cube-root of yield. But at higher yields than about 10 kt, the deeper crater produced means that a relatively larger fraction of the energy of cratering is employed to do work against gravity. The work energy you need to do is simply E = mgh where E is the gravitational potential energy needed to be overcome by work, m is the crater mass, g is the acceleration due to gravity (9.8 ms^-2) and h is the average vertical height that the material is moved from the crater to the height of the lip and ejecta layer surrounding the hole (this height is approximately half the depth of the crater). Since m is equal to the density of the cratered soil multiplied by the crater volume (which is approximately proportional to the cube of the depth of the crater, if the crater depth to radius ratio is approximately independent of yield), it follows that the energy used overcoming gravity in cratering is proportional to the fourth power of the crater depth. Hence, the fraction of energy used in overcoming gravity gets very big for deep craters from high yield nuclear weapons, and the crater depth (and radius) scale approximately as the one-fourth power (i.e. the fourth-root) of the weapon yield, for very high yields.
Inbetween about 1 kt and 100 kt there is a transition from cube-root to fourth-root scaling, where the average scaling law is roughly the 0.3 power of yield, and this is what Glasstone and Dolan as well as DNA-EM-1 (up to 1984) used. However, in 1987 it was realised that this empirical approximation was in error (the biggest Nevada cratering test was Sedan, 104 kt) because it ignored the reduced scaling of crater dimensions at high yields, where the immense problem of doing work against gravity kicks in and curtails the purely hydrodynamic cratering physics.

For example, in the case of a 10 Mt surface burst on dry soil, the 1957, 1962, and 1964 editions of Glasstone's Effects of Nuclear Weapons predicted a crater radius of 414 metres (the 10 Mt Mike test in 1952 had a radius of over twice that size, but that was due to the water-saturated porous coral of the island and surrounding reef, which is crushed very easily by the shock wave at high overpressures). This was reduced to 295 metres in Glasstone and Dolan, 1977, when the scaling law was changed from the cube-root to the 0.3 power of yield. The 1981 revision of Dolan's DNA-EM-1 brings it down to 145 metres, because of the tiny amount of energy which goes into the bomb case shock for a modern, efficient 10 Mt class thermonuclear warhead (Brode and Bjork discovered this bomb design effect on cratering in 1960; high-yield efficient weapons release over 80% of their yield as X-rays which are inefficient at cratering because they just cause ablation of the soil below the bomb, creating a shock wave and some compression, but far less cratering action than the dense bomb case shock wave produces in soil). Then in 1987, the introduction of gravity effects reduced the crater radius for a 10 Mt surface burst on dry soil to just 92 metres, only 22% of the figure believed up to 1964.
As you can see, its actually 10 MT, not 1 MT which is what I said before.
l33telboi wrote:...That would bump the yield of the photonic torpedoes to insane levels. Still, interesting research. I guess the 51 megaton result would be a super extreme lower limit.

Oh wait. Gravity. Actually, wouldn't the figure be accurate considering there's no gravity in space? There'd be no need to account for it.
higbvuyb wrote:If it was in space, then, yes, your calculation works.
I beg to disagree with both hig's conclusion and your claim that the equation has all that's needed for space detonations.

I did read the blog in question.
The post links to another page, posted by the author much earlier on, and highlighting actually an element which the equation you refer to doesn't take into account.

http://glasstone.blogspot.com/2006/03/s ... dolan.html

(My comments in orange.)
It’s fascinating that, despite the best scientific brains working on nuclear weapons effects for many decades - the Manhattan Project focussed a large amount of effort on the problem, and utilised the top physicists who had developed quantum mechanics and nuclear physics, and people like Bethe were still writing secret papers on fireball effects into the 1960s - such fundamental physical effects were simply ignored for decades. This was due to the restricted number of people working on the problem due to secrecy, and maybe some kind of ‘groupthink’ (psychological peer-pressure): not to upset colleagues by ‘rocking the boat’ with too much freethinking, radical questions, innovative ideas.
Well, as far as nuclear explosions were concerned, perhaps, but more refined equations for impacts against asteroids and rocks already took care of local gravity, as in Öpik (1969), Gault's (1974), and Dence's (1977) and Croft (1977), as described in the following document: Comparison of Six Crater-Scaling Laws ,SAO/NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS). It will be used later on.

The equation E = mgh isn't a speculative theory requiring nuclear tests to confirm it, it's a basic physical fact that can be experimentally proved in any physics laboratory: you can easily measure the energy needed to raise a mass (the amount of electric energy supplied to an electric motor while it winches up a standard 1 kg mass is a simple example of the kind of physical fact involved). In trying to analyse the effects of nuclear weapons, false approximations were sometimes used, which then became imbedded as a doctrine or faith about the ‘correct’ way to approach or analyze a particular problem. People, when questioned about a fundamental belief in such analysis, then are tempted respond dogmatically by simply referring to what the ‘consensus’ is, as if accepted dogmatic religious-style authority is somehow a substitute science, which is of course the unceasing need to keep asking probing questions, checking factual details for errors, omissions and misunderstandings, and forever searching for a deeper understanding of nature.

For example, in the case of a 10 Mt surface burst on dry soil, the 1957, 1962, and 1964 editions of Glasstone's Effects of Nuclear Weapons predicted a crater radius of 414 metres (the 10 Mt Mike test in 1952 had a radius of over twice that size, but that was due to the water-saturated porous coral of the island and surrounding reef, which is crushed very easily by the shock wave at high overpressures). This was reduced to 295 metres in Glasstone and Dolan, 1977, when the scaling law was changed from the cube-root to the 0.3 power of yield. The 1981 revision of Dolan's DNA-EM-1 brings it down to 145 metres, because of the tiny amount of energy which goes into the bomb case shock for a modern, efficient 10 Mt class thermonuclear warhead (Brode and Bjork discovered this bomb design effect on cratering in 1960; high-yield efficient weapons release over 80% of their yield as X-rays which are inefficient at cratering because they just cause ablation of the soil below the bomb, creating a shock wave and some compression, but far less cratering action than the dense bomb case shock wave produces in soil). Then in 1987, the introduction of gravity effects reduced the crater radius for a 10 Mt surface burst on dry soil to just 92 metres, only 22% of the figure believed up to 1964!

‘It is shown that the primary cause of cratering for such an explosion is not “airslap,” as previously suggested, but rather the direct action of the energetic bomb vapors. High-yield surface bursts are therefore less effective in cratering by that portion of the energy that escapes as radiation in the earliest phases of the explosion. [Hence the immense crater size from the 10 Mt liquid-deuterium Mike test in 1952 with its massive 82 ton steel casing shock is irrelevant to compact modern warheads which have lighter casings and are more efficient and produce smaller case shocks and thus smaller craters.]’ - H. L. Brode and R. L. Bjork, Cratering from a Megaton Surface Burst, RAND Corp., RM-2600, 1960.
The equation presented on the page ignores the impact of the mass of the weapon's casing, for the reason provided above. This won't affect our results much for torps, because I doubt they even weight 1 tonne, which wouldn't make much of a difference. But it will matter absolutely if you consider heavier devices, like for what our Cardassian missile-ship would do as it slams into a moon, for which impact related formulas would actually be just as good, if not better suited. For the same yield, it may leave a much greater crater, due to the material mass, than if we simply considered its yield --we assume the design is not stupid up to the point of soaking too much of the energy and partially neutering the device itself!
It's also very a interesting source of information, for any event that involves a heavily metal clad bomb or plasma-fusion reactor blowing up from inside a craft or station near the ground or on the ground.

Besides, the Glasstone-blog equation doesn't incorporate the momentum of the device itself, in that there would be a difference between detonating a bomb placed on the ground, and detonating a bomb hitting the ground at high speed. The author of the blog himself, considering its subjets, may have wished to consider than his discussion on the shortcoming of using nuclear ordinance against surface and underground targets, the devices could well be delivered by MIRVs and dropped on target as part of a whole propulsion capable system.

But these parts aside, we should clearly deal with the meat and potato of the question, and why I disagree with you.

The fourth-root part of the equation is only relevant so far as gravity matters much.
But you'll easily find a good number of large asteroids with low bulk densities and gravities being low multiples of e-2 or e-3.

I see that the blog's author, Nigel, deemed the former equation false because it didn't consider gravity for yields greater than 1 Kt.
While it is right, as long as the formula was used for nuclear or high explosisves below or around 1 Kt, at a gravity of 9.8 m/s², the predictions worked (although the formulas was akwardly thought to work even for yields such as 100 Kt).

The old formula was precisely empirical in origin, based on the observations of completed tests on Earth, and was created to predict the logged results in a table and for curves for sub or very low kiloton explosives. You would not need to add an addendum based on height, mass and gravity, when the first part would already assume the existence of an 9.8 gravity, because the formula was created to predict figures based on the values obtained from the existing reliable but very few tests.

Gravity is assumed, but not visible in the old formula. One of the main reason is that, first, several other parameters don't show up either, and secondly, it's a purely empirical short formula derived from a table of numberse. It's really meant to be that simple, really, but it does not mean gravity wouldn't matter at all.
It's still there and works for low yields. It is not enough anymore for greater yields. Hence the addendum, if you want to use that equation for greater yields used on Earth.
I cannot emphasize that part enough, since the blog's author updated the formula solely for nuclear blasts on Earth and nowhere else.

You could say that the second part of his equation, mgh, solved for potential energy, would compensate for the initial equations's shortcomings at yields above 1 Kt, but still in a 1g gravity.
Indeed, if you use the new equation in such a context of 9.8 m/s², it's good enough, and that was the point of the author's post.
Still, I don't see any introduction of atmospheric pressure either in the second term, and yet there's an entire column of air to deal with above the soon-to-be crater's volume.

But notice that in the case of this equation, g is a constant: It is not meant to be used for a gravity other than Earth's.

This is also my problem with hig's conclusion, because the old equation was empirical, and based on Terran experiments.
To me, it's painfully obvious that a 1 kiloton explosion test would have produced entirely different effects if it had happened on the surface of an asteroid, and we're not even talking about porosity yet!
That's why the first term of the equation, the old part, can not be used for an explosions elsewhere than on Earth's surface.

I also noticed that you thought that simply because the author mentionned higher yields would require the change from the cube-power to fourth-power, this applied to the whole formula, but this is not exact. It only applies to the second term, the first one remaining unchanged.
The (mX)-term is proportional to the cube of the crater depth (because m is the product of volume and density, and volume is proportional to depth-cubed if the crater radius/depth ratio is constant), while the (mgh)-term is proportional to the fourth-power of the crater depth because m is proportional to the density times the depth cubed (if the depth/radius ratio is constant) and h is always directly proportional to the crater depth (h is roughly half the crater depth), so the product mgh is proportional to the product of depth cubed and depth, i.e., to the fourth-power of crater depth. So for bigger craters and bigger bomb yields, a larger fraction of the total cratering energy then gets used to overcome gravity, causing the gravity term to predominate and the crater size to scale at most by W1/4 at high yields. This makes the crater size scaling law transition from cube-root (W1/3) at low yields to fourth-root (W1/4) at higher yields!
Only [mgh] is concerned by this. Why the link with higher yields then?

When you use greater yields, you use this equation, with the added term, and it's this added term that involves the fourth-power.

It's rather clear what both terms correspond to:
(My comments in orange.)
Early theoretical studies of crater formation, even using powerful computer simulations, employed explosion dynamics that ignored gravitation. Almost all of the books on the ‘effects of nuclear weapons’ in the public domain give nonsense for megaton surface bursts. It was only in 1986 that a full study of the effects of gravity in reducing crater sizes in the megaton range was performed: R. M. Schmidt, K. A. Holsapple, and K. R. Housen, ‘Gravity effects in cratering’, U.S. Department of Defense, Defense Nuclear Agency, report DNA-TR-86-182. In addition to secrecy issues on the details, the complexity of the unclassified portions of the new scaling procedures in this official treatment cover up the mechanisms, so here is a simple analytical explanation which is clearer:

If the energy used in cratering is E, the cratered mass M, and the explosive energy needed to physically break up a unit mass of the soil under consideration is X, then the old equation E = MX (which implies that crater volume is directly proportional to bomb yield and hence crater depth and diameter scale as the cube-root of yield) is completely false, as it omits gravitational work energy needed to shift soil from the crater to the surrounding ground.
E = MX is the "old" equation, which still finds its way into the new equation. A very close version of the old equation is found in 1977 The Effects of Nuclear Weapons, 3rd ed. (36.8 Mb), in Characteristics of Surface and Shallow Undeground Bursts, 6.09 (p.235) and 6.72 (p.253-255). It is abundantly clear that the formula was simple, and solely made to fit the observed results with minimal parameters. It was presented as a rough method, and totally extrapolated for yields higher than 1 Kt.
The following is necessary to understand the context of the equation.


This gravitational work energy is easy to estimate as ½ MgD, where M is the mass excavated, g is gravitational acceleration (9.8 m/s& ), D is crater depth, and ½ is a rough approximation of the average proportionof the crater depth which displaced soil is vertically moved against gravity in forming the crater.

Hence the correct cratering energy not E = MX but rather E = MX + ½MgD. For yields well below 1-kt, the second term (on the right hand side) of this expression, ½ MgD, is insignificant compared to MX, so the volume excavated scales directly with yield, and since the volume is proportional to the cube of the average linear dimension, this means that the radius and depth both scale with the cube-root of yield for low yields.

But for very large yields, the second term, ½MgD, becomes more important, and this use of energy to overcome gravity in excavation limits the energy available for explosive digging, so the linear dimensions then scale as only the fourth-root (or quarter-power) of yield. Surface burst craters are paraboloid in shape, so they have a volume of: p R2 D/2 = (p /2)(R/D)2 D3, where the ratio of R/D is about 1.88 for a surface burst on dry soil. The mass of crater material is this volume multiplied by the density, r , of the soil material: M = rp(R/D)2 D3 /2.

Hence, the total cratering energy is: E = MX + ½ MgD = r (p /2)R2 D(X + ½gD).

The density of hard rock, soft rock and hard soil (for example granite, sandstone or basalt) is typically 2.65 kg/litre (2,650 kg per cubic metre), wet soil is around 2.10 kg/litre, water saturated coral reef is 2.02 kg/litre, typical dry soil is 1.70 kg/litre, Nevada desert is 1.60 kg/litre, lunar soil is 1.50 kg/litre (for analysis of the craters on the moon, where gravity is 6 times smaller than at the earth’s surface), and ice is 0.93 kg/litre.

The change over from cube-root to quarter-root scaling with increasing yield means that old crater size estimates (for example, those in the well-known 1977 book by Glasstone and Dolan, U.S. Department of Defence, 1977, The Effects of Nuclear Weapons) are far too big in the megaton range, and need to be multiplied by a correction factor.

The correction factor is easy to find. The purely explosive cratering energy efficiency, f, falls as gravity takes more energy, and is simply f = MX/(MX + ½MgD) = (1 + ½gD/X)-1.

Because gravity effects are small in the low and sub kiloton range, the correct crater radius for small explosions indeed scales hydrodynamically, as R ~ E1/3, so the 1-kt crater sizes in Glasstone and Dolan should be scaled by the correct factor R ~ W1/3(1 + ½ gD/X)-1/3 instead of by the empirical factor of R ~ W0.3 given by Glasstone and Dolan for Nevada explosion data of 1-100 kt. Glasstone and Dolan overestimates crater sizes by a large factor for megaton yield bursts. (The Americans had been mislead by data from coral craters, since coral is porous and is simply crushed to sand by the shock wave, instead of being excavated explosively like other media.

In megaton surface bursts on wet soft rock, the depth D increases only as W1/4, the ‘fourth root’ or ‘one-quarter power’ of yield scaling. Obviously for small craters, D scales as the cube-root of yield, but the correction factor (1 + ½ gD/X)-1/3 is only significant for the megaton range anyway, so a good approximation is to put D in this correction as proportional to the fourth-root of yield in this correction factor formula. The value of X for any soil material is a constant which may be easily calculated from the published crater sizes for a 1 kt surface burst, where gravity is not of importance (X is the cratered mass divided by the energy used in cratering, the latter being determined by an energy balance for the explosion effects).

The crater is made by two processes: the shock wave pulverisation of the soil (the energy required to do this is approximately proportional to the mass of soil pulverised) and the upward recoil of pulverised soil in reaction (by Newton’s 3rd law) to the downward push of the explosion (the energy required to do this excavation depends on gravitation, since it takes energy MgD to raise mass M a distance D upward against gravity acceleration g).
Have you even looked at what you'd obtain with the second term of the equation alone?
It works with crater depth, and considers the mass of matter lifted upwards against gravity.
So we have to make some assumptions here about what the radius would be. In some crater cases, matter falls back into the hole. Therefore the crater shape would be more of a flat lens, and thus the ratio depth:radius would not be 1:1. This is precisely addressed by the author ("the ratio of Radius/Depth is about 1.88"). Which means he works from a final depth perspective.
But to obtain a bigger number and assume all the mass is ejected into space, I'll use an hemisphere.
We'll leave aside the problem of using the second term alone, since then it doesn't take into account the fact that to have a crater in an environment where gravity is strictly superior to 0, and get something like an escape velocity, you have to blow matter sideways and not just lift it up, since a positive gravity shall bring matter back into its original spot.

Now let's go beyond the use the author made of this term, and apply it in a case of low gravity.
If we take it in a simplistic way, where depth equals radius, we're therefore dealing with a 1500 meters radius hemisphere.
For the mass M, let's take a density of 2.2 g/cm³, higher than a conservative value for porous structures. It's also slightly superior to wet soil (2.1 g/cc).
As for surface gravity, we'll pick e-2 m/s² instead of the inferior and also common e-3 value.

V = 4/3 * pi * R³ = 7.068 e9 m³
M = 7.068 e9 * 2.2 e3 = 1.55496 e13 kg.
E = mgh = 1.55496 e13 * e-2 * 1.5 e3 = 233.244 e 12 J, or 55.75 kilotons.

That's for the term of the equation which is supposed to dictate the final result, and yet was obtained from non conservative parameters.
It obviously adds little to nothing to what you think is a by default correct lower end value (51 MT).

See, that's why I think the other document I provided, which in the end, argued in favor of a yield around the 1 digit megaton range, more or less, was closer to reality.

Now, if we use this term according to the Terran parameters it was meant to be used with, we multiply the result by 980, and we get 54.635 megatons.
We realize that if we add the 51 megatons obtained from the first term of the updated equation, and the 54 megatons from the second term, we get 109 megatons.

This will be important for the next point: proving my intuition is correct.

Let's look at several asteroids first.

http://www.solarviews.com/eng/asteroid.htm

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/433_Eros
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/45_Eugenia
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/90_Antiope
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/253_Mathilde
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/951_Gaspra
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2_Pallas

Now, let's use the crater scaling formula from Dence et al. (1977), extended with term (gE/g)^3/16 for comparative measures (as defined in the document provider earlier, p.1):

D = 1.71 e-2 * E^0.294 * (gE/g)^3/16 , when D > 2.4 10^5 cm. D stands for the crater's diameter.

An equation that is not much different than the one quickly used for small yield HE/nuclear detonation below or at 1 kT, but which includes gravity.
We can notice that if we use the equation for an impact on Earth, the term "(gE/g)^3/16" would return 1 and thus disappear from the equation.
It would appear that this equation would be rather reliable and more than close enough, even if primarily designed for impact with solid objects. That said, at a certain level of energy, the effects are similar.

So we can try to obtain an energy figure from the equation, for a low gravity asteroid.
Let's use this formula with asteroid 253 Mathilde:

Code: Select all

Dimensions                      52.8 km (66×48×46 km)
Mass                            1.033(±0.044) e17 kg
Mean density                    1.3 g/cm³
Equatorial surface gravity      0.0025 m/s²
Therefore, energy is obtained:

E^0.294 = D / 1.71 * e2 / (gE/g)^3/16

E^0.294 = D / 1.71 * e2 / (9.8/0.0025)^0.1875

E = [3000 / 1.71 * 100 / (9.8/0.0025)^0.1875]^1/0.294

E = 3,511 e12 J, or 839.15 kilotons. This would fit rather well with the Groumall case's parameters and the ENT battle between the NX-01 and a Klingon ship through an asteroid field (which should provide nice numbers, as the Klingon weapons were hitting asteroids, breaking them and also taking down the NX-01's defenses down, as reported by the technician in charge of the defensive systems).

Now, this is where it's important to remember the former result, with the old updated formula.

Let's try Dence's extended formula for an explosion on Earth, to see if a change of gravity matters.

E_earth = ( 3000 / 1.71 * 100 )^1/0.294

E_earth = 687,322 e12 J, or 164.27 megatons.

Roughly 195.75 times the first figure for the low gravity example. The difference is absolutely huge!

Compare this with the 109 megatons obtained earlier on, for a detonation on Earth, when using the updated formula found on the blog and adding the results of its two terms. It's not terribly far from it, and it's even superior to the result with that updated "old" formula.
I think the demonstration is clear that the old formula cannot be arbitrarily used for impacts in space without considering the gravity part of it.

Also, to show that a difference of gravity doesn't only matter in that equation, let's use another one. That is, the most complete gravity adaptable equation proposed in the document is a slight modification of Gault's formula (1974), and offers energy, gravity (with gM being the Moon's gravity), density parameters for both target and projectile (ρt and ρp respectively), and even angular impact (θ), which we'll put at 90°.

D = 2.7 e-2 * ρp^1/6 * ρt^(-1/2) * E^0.28 [1-0.095 (1-cosθ)] * (gM/g)^3/16 , with D > e5 cm.

The perpendicular impact taken out of the equation, we're left with:

D = 2.7 e-2 * ρp^1/6 * ρt^(-1/2) * E^0.28 * 0.905 * (gM/g)^3/16

With E isolated, the formula becomes:

E = [D / 2.7 * e2 / ρp^1/6 / ρt^(-1/2) / 0.905 / (gM/g)^3/16]^1/0.28

The moon has the following properties:

Code: Select all

Mass                            7.347 7 × 1022 kg  (0.012 3 Earths)
Mean density                    3,346.4 kg/m³
Equatorial surface gravity      1.622 m/s² (0.165 4 g)
Trying to see what happens with a change in gravity means we don't need to care about projectile density.
But in any case, I'd suggest using a very low density projectile of 1 g/cc or below.

Now, the only term that is ought to change in the formula is "(gM/g)^3/16", which becomes [(gM/g)^3/16]^1/0.28 once E is isolated.
So let's try to compare the factors (F_mathilde and F_moon).

With the Mathilde asteroids (0.0025 m/s²), we obtain:

F_mathilde = [(gM/g)^3/16]^1/0.28 = (gM/g)^3/4.48 = 76.403

With the Moon, we obtain:

F_moon = [(gM/g)^3/16]^1/0.28 = 1

So we can see that there's already a huge difference between both premises, and it's not as huge as if we had compared Earth to 253 Mathilde with the same term: the difference would be little, since the final exponents in the two formulas are 1/0.28 and 1/0.0294.

So, in this case, the asteroid related yield would be 76.403 times weaker than that of the Moon's.
Using that ratio on the 36 MT figure presented in this post, obtained via the Moon related formula E = 4*e15*D^3, we see that the yield for the asteroid blast would have been 471.185 kilotons for a 3 km wide crater.
Twice less than the 839.15 kilotons found earlier on, which can be explained by the fact the results are not from the same equation and were calculated for Lunar parameters in this case.
But both still are under the megaton range.
And that returns 4.9, 127.5 and 1.3 megatons respectively for granite (2330 kg/m³), nickel-iron (7870 kg/m³) and ice (900 kg/m³), all for a 1.5 km depth. And that's assuming he meant the crater created by the explosion, in contrast to the final crater that will be obviously larger than it's deep.
Crater depth, not width. The calculator we used gauged width. It's also much more recent the Wong's formula. It's also in widespread use.
Perhaps, but not for space related calculations.

Also, "The coupling of energy to asteroids and comets" (1994) is cited in several papers, including NASA documents, which are post 2000.

Now, as for Wong's equation. Here's a schematic of what it suggests, when purely considering the depth:
    • Image
That's the theoretical representation of what it would be if you dug such a crater, according to its depth.
Now, it's only theoretical. I find it terribly unlikely that if you managed to dig such, the pointy edges would not collapse. Schematic cross section views of craters with long cracks starting from the bowl shaped surface of the crater, and radiating through the material for several meters. It's already obvious that on this schematic, the pointy edges would be fragile, as they couldn't count of the vast bulk of the remaining asteroid to maintain structural strength, notably because dampening is not part of the estimation either (dampening due to porosity is precisely what would prevent edges from cracking).
It's easy to imagine that in case of more fragile material, the weaker broken rim of the crater would stand farther, and extend to match the asteroid's width very closely.
OK. For some reason I remembered the evil NX-01 firing beams as well. Pulses. That's also what the E-NIL was firing, right? Because it didn't look like pulses. Although it looked like quantum torpedoes.
No, the E-NIL fires normal beam-like phasers. The blue balls were torpedoes.
And these torpedoes are shielded?


EDIT: corrections brought to the first Dence extended formula used in the post, and to the observation.

I noticed the mistake while checking the post with a fresh mind and a recharged cells. Consider this:
There is a Dence equation for smaller diameters, which you could pretty much consider to be like the old formula once used "on Earth":

D = 1.9 e-3 * E^0.333 * (gE/g)^3/16 , with D < 2.4 e5 cm.

Obviously, aside from the difference in some constants, gravity will, again, play a major role in the final result. The whole observation being that there's no reason that the mechanical forces dictating such differences in the yields, would not apply to explosives.
Last edited by Mr. Oragahn on Sat Jun 27, 2009 1:29 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Post by l33telboi » Sat Jun 27, 2009 4:53 am

Mr. Oragahn wrote:What the initial figure is about is the energy necessary to shatter the entirety of an asteroid of x meters. It comes as logical that removing half of the matter would make the figure lower for the energy required to move the mass.
Not really. Think about it, in a centrally buried explosion the blast is confined, it can't escape or 'push off' from the surface, so it'll be a lot more efficient. Take the earlier firecracker example I had as an example; you can destroy your hand with a relatively low-scale bang, just as long as you close your fist around it. But if you open your hand, you're going to need a much bigger bang then twice the explosion if you want to achieve the same.

So like I said earlier - show me something that would validate this methodology, because it makes absolutely no sense to me.
Later torpedoes, like in TNG, have been seen entering a dying red star and an episode did involving torpedoes slamming into the crust and somehow going deeper. It was an episode with a planet having another structural issue.
TNG torps also had shields.

Like I said, there's no reason to assume the torpedo was supposed to burrow. Ergo we're not going to assume so.
The Klingon's ships have shields, and the Terrans already had hull polarization. They were handed torpedo technology iirc.
Starfleet does not have shields. Thus assuming their torpedoes would be shielded even when their ships are not is something of a stretch. It’s wishful thinking at best. But if you can find some source that says they are shielded, then go right ahead.
Because it seems to have all necessary parameters does not mean it's correct, nor the only one that would work.
It means that it's the best one for the job, and the one that will give us the figure closest to the truth. Only reason to dismiss it would be if you don't like what figure it gets you, which seems to be the case here.
I actually retrived the original thread wherein the formula was first presented.
The first thread the formula was presented in was something like NX-class versus Whitestar, actually… which you've even quoted me saying.
I beg to disagree with both hig's conclusion and your claim that the equation has all that's needed for space detonations.
I'm not surprised.
The equation presented on the page ignores the impact of the mass of the weapon's casing, for the reason provided above. This won't affect our results much for torps, because I doubt they even weight 1 tonne, which wouldn't make much of a difference.
Which means it's rather pointless to bring up.
Besides, the Glasstone-blog equation doesn't incorporate the momentum of the device itself, in that there would be a difference between detonating a bomb placed on the ground, and detonating a bomb hitting the ground at high speed.
There's no reason to assume there'd be a lot of momentum involved, and if there was, I'd still like to see what sort of differences it would mean.
The fourth-root part of the equation is only relevant so far as gravity matters much.
Which is why we didn't use it, yes.
The old formula was precisely empirical in origin, based on the observations of completed tests on Earth, and was created to predict the logged results in a table and for curves for sub or very low kiloton explosives.
From what I've seen it was nothing of the kind. It simply took the amount of energy required to break up a certain material, and then used that to figure out how much energy would be required to dig out a crater. And the energy required to break up a material would be the same on earth as it is in space.
You could say that the second part of his equation, mgh, solved for potential energy, would compensate for the initial equations's shortcomings at yields above 1 Kt, but still in a 1g gravity.
The only thing the change in the formula does is factor in gravity, which the previous formula didn't.
This is also my problem with hig's conclusion, because the old equation was empirical, and based on Terran experiments.
...On how much energy it takes to break up a token material, yes. This has absolutely nothing to do with gravity.
When you use greater yields, you use this equation, with the added term, and it's this added term that involves the fourth-power.
Yes. I know.
Have you even looked at what you'd obtain with the second term of the equation alone?
It works with crater depth, and considers the mass of matter lifted upwards against gravity.
Yes, which is why it hasn't been used.
For the mass M, let's take a density of 2.2 g/cm³, higher than a conservative value for porous structures. It's also slightly superior to wet soil (2.1 g/cc).
How would something like that even hold itself together in space, or how would it have been formed, without significant gravity?
It obviously adds little to nothing to what you think is a by default correct lower end value (51 MT).
It does however show just how far from the truth your figures are. 50 kilotons to dig out a 3 kilometer crater, have you thought about just how crazy that is? We have detonated multiple megaton and kiloton scale devices on earth, on all sorts of ground types, and not once have we achieved a 3km crater with a 50 kiloton nuke. Gravity? It can't account for that big of an error.
See, that's why I think the other document I provided, which in the end, argued in favor of a yield around the 1 digit megaton range, more or less, was closer to reality.
I'm afraid the only valid and by-the-book figure comes out in the 50 megaton range. Look, it's good and well that you spend this much time and effort on trying to get the numbers down, but realize that in the end you're going to need something that's actually backed up by something rather then speculation.

You think the paper is wrong by three orders of magnitude? Great. I think that sort of mentality is slightly odd considering the thing has been and is in widespread use. And quite frankly, given that you’re trying to say we should assume the torpedoes have shields and the like, it tends to make me dismiss what you’re trying to do out-of-hand, because it shows you’re trying to reach a preferred number.
And these torpedoes are shielded?
I don't know about TOS era stuff.

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Post by Mr. Oragahn » Sat Jun 27, 2009 7:07 pm

Checking the post this morning, I noticed that I used 1.8 instead of 1.71 in the extended Dence equation. I edited the two erroneous numbers. Aside from yields increased a notch, the basic principles don't change.

Therefore, I'll address your remarks accordingly.
l33telboi wrote:
Mr. Oragahn wrote:What the initial figure is about is the energy necessary to shatter the entirety of an asteroid of x meters. It comes as logical that removing half of the matter would make the figure lower for the energy required to move the mass.
Not really. Think about it, in a centrally buried explosion the blast is confined, it can't escape or 'push off' from the surface, so it'll be a lot more efficient. Take the earlier firecracker example I had as an example; you can destroy your hand with a relatively low-scale bang, just as long as you close your fist around it. But if you open your hand, you're going to need a much bigger bang then twice the explosion if you want to achieve the same.

So like I said earlier - show me something that would validate this methodology, because it makes absolutely no sense to me.
I have in past debates already mentionned that surface blasts require more energy, but I was standing on a purely theoretical pov here, about energy for movement, which is the idea behind ther term "mgh", regardless of the position of the explosive, totally outside of thermodynamics.
Sorry if that came out a bit messily.

Then we deal with the part that's relative to the explosive's position.
Checking some document paper I have about explosives, regardless of gravity, cratering a complete hemisphere of radius R, by placing a charge at the center of the hemisphere's base, would require 1.8 times more energy than cratering an entire spherical volume of a radius R, with the charge place in the middle.

So we may pick a cratering energy value, for a centrally buried explosive, and multiply it by 1.8, when passing from an asteroid to an hemisphere with strictly the same radii.

I still don't see why we should ignore the formula for asteroid cratering as a yardstick.

We know that with porous material, there's that "plastic zone" that is considerably squished, and may provide a greater crater for a given yield X, if the Mike nuclear test is of any indication considering the radius of the crater was double of what was expected for a solid, compact ground.
Later torpedoes, like in TNG, have been seen entering a dying red star and an episode did involving torpedoes slamming into the crust and somehow going deeper. It was an episode with a planet having another structural issue.
TNG torps also had shields.

Like I said, there's no reason to assume the torpedo was supposed to burrow. Ergo we're not going to assume so.
Which is the assumption I went with as well.
But I'm not convinced about the no-shield argument, and I happen to have an idea to explain this.
If there are shields, then the burrowing argument might have to be kept in the back of the mind, although considering the speed of most torps, and when they explode, as I said, it would likely not matter. It will if torps are fired at greater speeds.
The Klingon's ships have shields, and the Terrans already had hull polarization. They were handed torpedo technology iirc.
Starfleet does not have shields. Thus assuming their torpedoes would be shielded even when their ships are not is something of a stretch. It’s wishful thinking at best. But if you can find some source that says they are shielded, then go right ahead.
We have the entire show that shows the torps glowing like the entirety of Trek. I'm sorry, but that's the undisputable fact. Can you explain why these torps, with a solid casing, are sheathed in an aura of glowing energy like torps from TOS, TNG, DS9 and VOY, plus the movies?

As far as I'm concerned, here's my suggestion:
Torpedo shields are totally different than starship shields.
Torpedo shields are powerful, wasteful, lethal and short lived. The torpedo shielding tech cannot be used on a ship: it would consume too much energy, burn out too quickly and endanger the crews.
The glow has to be a field of some sort, and we know that we don't see that field on ships, and that is a principle that actually applies to all eras.

I'm open to your explanation, because claiming that there's no form of shield on these torps will clearly not suffice considering what we see.
I actually retrived the original thread wherein the formula was first presented.
The first thread the formula was presented in was something like NX-class versus Whitestar, actually… which you've even quoted me saying.
I know, but you didn't provide a link to that thread, and I don't see how it matters.
The equation presented on the page ignores the impact of the mass of the weapon's casing, for the reason provided above. This won't affect our results much for torps, because I doubt they even weight 1 tonne, which wouldn't make much of a difference.
Which means it's rather pointless to bring up.
We both know that former cases are used and applied to new ones, a bit like in law. We don't want people jump here and think that all parameters are OK if they want to check the power of a given super heavy device that left a given crater.
Thankfully, we deal with lightweight torpedoes, not with massive missiles like the ones we'd find in Warhammer 40K for example.
Besides, the Glasstone-blog equation doesn't incorporate the momentum of the device itself, in that there would be a difference between detonating a bomb placed on the ground, and detonating a bomb hitting the ground at high speed.
There's no reason to assume there'd be a lot of momentum involved, and if there was, I'd still like to see what sort of differences it would mean.
Aside from the torpedo's own impact speed, as I said, they're probably light enough to be negligible. But again, the reason I mention it is to have the reader consider that these parameters matter as well, as to how the energy is transmitted.
The old formula was precisely empirical in origin, based on the observations of completed tests on Earth, and was created to predict the logged results in a table and for curves for sub or very low kiloton explosives.
From what I've seen it was nothing of the kind. It simply took the amount of energy required to break up a certain material, and then used that to figure out how much energy would be required to dig out a crater. And the energy required to break up a material would be the same on earth as it is in space.
The difference with the other equations is that in the extended G&D, mgh adds energy via gravity, while the first part does not. In the equations I brought forth, gravity is a factor of all the parameters.

But there's clearly something that puzzled me, and I better ask you a question.
I notice that while the author mentions that the first term is E = mX, you used an equation which was D = 5 e-3 / J^(1/3).

At first glance, the equation you used in place of mX, and the mX term itself don't share the same parameters.

But do you know how X (in E = mX) is obtained? All I know is that X in that term "is the number of Joules needed in cratering for the hydrodynamic excavation of 1 kg of soil."
It's rather eluding.
Nige wrote: The (mX)-term is proportional to the cube of the crater depth (because m is the product of volume and density, and volume is proportional to depth-cubed if the crater radius/depth ratio is constant)...
Which would mean that at no point in X, which is expressed in Joules, there's an equation where the depth or radius mattered, since it's only expressed via the mass m.

Now, I'm having a problem with that, and I really want to see the equation behind X.
You say it's all good and fitting, but where did you post anything about the method used to obtain X?

I'd really see where the inverse square law comes into play in this.
This is also my problem with hig's conclusion, because the old equation was empirical, and based on Terran experiments.
...On how much energy it takes to break up a token material, yes. This has absolutely nothing to do with gravity.
In the equation you swapped in place of "mX", there is no reference to the material at all. Just the crater's diameter.
The entire equation, presented on the blog, is:

E = (mX) + (mgh).

What you did was turn it into this:

E = [D / 5 * e3]^3 + (mgh)

And then said that with g = 0, we're, finally, only using this:

E = [D / 5 * e3]^3

This seems rather acrobatic to me.
For the mass M, let's take a density of 2.2 g/cm³, higher than a conservative value for porous structures. It's also slightly superior to wet soil (2.1 g/cc).
How would something like that even hold itself together in space, or how would it have been formed, without significant gravity?
Impacts and the equivalent of static interactions, or else.
They exist, that's what matters.
It obviously adds little to nothing to what you think is a by default correct lower end value (51 MT).
It does however show just how far from the truth your figures are. 50 kilotons to dig out a 3 kilometer crater, have you thought about just how crazy that is?
We have detonated multiple megaton and kiloton scale devices on earth, on all sorts of ground types, and not once have we achieved a 3km crater with a 50 kiloton nuke. Gravity? It can't account for that big of an error.
What? This is not my claim at all.
I merely calculated mgh alone in a different environment to show what it does. I did not say it should be favoured in lieu of the first term.
You could even use a gravity ten or a hundred times stronger, the result of the second term, for a 3 km wide crater, would still be inferior to what you get with the first term.
It really only becomes relevant on Earth, and all I want to know for sure is what the first term stands for precisely.

Besides, Nige refers to Theory and equations for “Craters from Impacts and Explosions”, and the more complex function based equation, listed in "3. Explosive cratering", features gravity.
See, that's why I think the other document I provided, which in the end, argued in favor of a yield around the 1 digit megaton range, more or less, was closer to reality.
I'm afraid the only valid and by-the-book figure comes out in the 50 megaton range. Look, it's good and well that you spend this much time and effort on trying to get the numbers down, but realize that in the end you're going to need something that's actually backed up by something rather then speculation.
And so we should ignore the source from 1994 used by Wong is clearly referenced, or the other source, from the Tsunami survey publications, giving similar numbers in fact, when published within the context of near Earth object deflections.

I could be wrong, but I'll take a definitive stance when I'll see how X is obtained, among other things, because I find it odd that Nige comes with the energy "needed in cratering for the hydrodynamic excavation of 1 kg of soil" and multiples that by the mass obtained from the idea that the crater is an hemisphere, but at no point I see the ISL considered since we're speaking of an omnidirectional unique detonation. I don't get the feeling that his operation gives the energy directly "needed in cratering for the hydrodynamic excavation of" the crater's entire mass.
Hell, the numbers may even get much bigger, that's not really my problem right now.
You think the paper is wrong by three orders of magnitude? Great.
Where did I say this? I even said that the equation works neatly as long as it's used on Earth, which is just what the author does, given the topic of his blog and the whole text presented on numerous articles of his blog, including the quoted page.

At no point there's a question of nuclear tests on the moon or on asteroids, and that's part I'd like covered.
And quite frankly, given that you’re trying to say we should assume the torpedoes have shields and the like, it tends to make me dismiss what you’re trying to do out-of-hand, because it shows you’re trying to reach a preferred number.

Torpedoes glow like in all Trek. I'm all ears out for your explanation.
I gave you mine.
And these torpedoes are shielded?
I don't know about TOS era stuff.
Oh but you know the reply you should have given me. By your own logic, if torpedoes don't have shields when ships don't, then if ships have shields (since a good while by the time of TOS), torpedoes do.
Worst of all, the torps of ENT look even more like DS9 and VOY torps than the bursts seen shot by the Connie.

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