Bailout: How Would You Vote?

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Post by sonofccn » Fri Oct 03, 2008 2:24 pm

Who is like God arbour wrote:It's not true, that laissez-faire capitalism is "the only functional system devised by man".
Capitalism,either in pure laissez-faire or the more regulated kind we now have in the US, is the only system that seems to work.
There are other economic systems beside the bedevilled communism.
Anything else is only a matter of degree one way or the other towards more goverment control or free market.
The social market economy seeks a middle path between socialism and capitalism (i.e. a mixed economy), combining private enterprise with state ownership of strategic industries or resources, and aims at maintaining a balance between a high rate of economic growth, low inflation, low levels of unemployment, good working conditions, social welfare, and public services, by using state intervention.
I am of course aware of the European encomny but what I've heard doesn't leave me impressed. This is the econmony that causes Germany to have 10% unemployment(circa 2006 IIRC) stagnated growth, and a GDP a fraction of the size of a country that is younger then some of it's buildings. I don't consider that a success.
It's even a goal of the European Union:
Art. I-3 of the Treaty establishing a Constitution for Europe:
The Union shall work for the sustainable development of Europe based on balanced economic growth and price stability, a highly competitive social market economy, aiming at full employment and social progress, and a high level of protection and improvement of the quality of the environment.
I am aware of the European Union's goal/desire. I simply believe it's misguided and will doom the EU to dustbin of history like Western europe been heading for these last few years.

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Post by Praeothmin » Fri Oct 03, 2008 4:16 pm

JMS wrote:It is not their responsibility to assure the banks are lending on terms that are profitable in the long run; they enter into the bargain knowing that they get a house out of it, if they can keep meeting payments, or lose the house, if they can't.
Yes, it is.
It is the responsability of the person getting the loan to make sure he isn't getting over his head, and to live according to his financial means.

That wave of taking responsability off of the shoulders of those who should bear it gets on my nerves.
It is certainly not the fault of the bank if I'm stupid enough to load my credit cards, not make the payments, and spend every last cent I have on frivolous things, such a Home entertainment system, flat screen TV, and the like.

It is my decision, so it is my responsability, period...

Sure, the banks and financial institutions will do what they can to facilitate my spending ability, at the behest of their share owners, but I still have the choice not to accept what they offer.
Nobody's putting a gun to anybody's head and forcing them to spend more then they earn or can reimburse.
sonofccn wrote:Capitalism,either in pure laissez-faire or the more regulated kind we now have in the US, is the only system that seems to work.
I do agree that Capitalism is the best system for mankind, because it is the best competitive system, and it encourages hard work with the promises of rewards.
But it should be a lot better regulated then it is in the USA.
Honestly (and yes, I'm a subjective observer here), I think the best system is found in Canada.
Our economy is still going pretty well, despite the fact that our greatest economic ally and source of incom is facing an incredible recession.
Why?
Because we regulate the market, so that anybody has a chance at the top, but not at any price, or using any means.
We rarely give house loans to people who can't pay, and rarely loan more then the capacity to pay of a household.
The percentage of Canadiens living above their income level is lower then that of the USA because of this.
I'd say the place where we resemble the USA the mst is our huge dependency on oil.

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Post by Flectarn » Fri Oct 03, 2008 4:42 pm

sonofccn wrote:
I am of course aware of the European encomny but what I've heard doesn't leave me impressed. This is the econmony that causes Germany to have 10% unemployment(circa 2006 IIRC) stagnated growth, and a GDP a fraction of the size of a country that is younger then some of it's buildings. I don't consider that a success.
[/quote]

Might want to check this out.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_co ... _(nominal)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_co ... population

Germany is the worlds 3rd largest economy. it's GDP is about a 4th of US's, so yes a fraction. It also has about a quarter of the population.
http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,,36 ... on-864-rdf
Germanies unemployment rate is 7.7 or 7.4 percent depending on how you tally it, still high, but not so bad as it had been.
http://www.oecd.org/document/26/0,3343, ... _1,00.html
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/60fff408-62de ... fd2ac.html
German GDP growth is comparable to the US's even given an unexpected 1 percent drop recently.
It's also worth noting when considering economic growth that Germanies population growth is 1/20th of the US's
http://indexmundi.com/g/r.aspx?c=gm&v=24

Looks like the Germans are doing alright for themselves, and your statistics are out of date.

edit: wish i'd found this site first.
http://indexmundi.com/germany/
http://indexmundi.com/united_states/
all sorts of statistics
actually now that i think about i guess i could have used the world fact book to do this too...

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Post by Who is like God arbour » Fri Oct 03, 2008 4:56 pm

sonofccn wrote:I am of course aware of the European encomny but what I've heard doesn't leave me impressed. This is the econmony that causes Germany to have 10% unemployment (circa 2006 IIRC) stagnated growth, and a GDP a fraction of the size of a country that is younger then some of it's buildings. I don't consider that a success.
Bad example. You are ignoring what a challenge the German reunification is. The "new" federal states didn't have any noteworthy and competitive industry. Their economy was devastated and their currency was worth nothing, while the "old" federal states had one of the most competitive industry and the hardest currency in the world. That was the situation at the German reunification. To rebuild the "new" federal states, the "old" federal states are transferring each year nearly 83'000'000'000 Euro to the "new" federal states. Show me a nation, which can do that for 18 years but can be nevertheless the world-wide leading country in exports.



And now to the unemployment rate: 2002 (12 years after the German reunification) the rate for the "old" federal states was only 5,7%, while it was at the same time with 5,0% in the UK or 4,5% in the USA not considerably lower in typically capitalism nations. In the "new" federal states, the unemployment rate is still at 35%. The "new" federal states simply have the problem, that they have to compete against one of the strongest economy of the world and that makes it difficult for them to rebuild their own economy. It will take a lot of time for the "new" federal states to catch up with the "old" federal states, whose economy is constantly growing. The values, you have heard, are only the intersection for whole Germany.



And now to the gross domestic product. I think, you are referring to the USA with the nation that is younger then some of Germany's buildings. First, we should clarify, that there are different methods to calculate the GDP and thus, there are different lists with different values. Alone in Wikipedia, there are three different lists with different values: A list by the International Monetary Fund (USA: 13'843'825 millions of USD - Germany 3'322'147 millions of USD), a list by the World Bank (USA: 13'811'200 millions of USD - Germany 3'297'233 millions of USD) and a list by the CIA World Factbook (USA: 13'840'000 millions of USD - Germany 3,322,000 millions of USD). Conspicuous is, that the GDP of the USA in all three lists with nearly 13'800'000 millions of USD is nearly four times higher than the GDP of Germany with nearly 3'300'000 millions of USD. But you should consider, that the USA have with a population of circa 305'000'000 nearly four times as many denizens than Germany with a population of 82'000'000. That means, that considering the number of denizens, both economies are nearly equal.



And concerning the age of Germany, you should also consider, that it was nearly destroyed 60 years ago and also has had to rebuild its whole industry, while the industry of the USA was not destroyed in the second World War. I don't want to debate the question, who has the responsibility for the second World War. I think, that is a moot point because we all know that Germany has started the war. But that is irrelevant. Relevant is, that Germany, the looser of that war, was able to rebuild its industry and become one of the strongest economy of the world again.



And another question is, how much of the GDP of the USA consists of empty values, that are lost in the current crisis.


        • P.S. I have seen Flectarns post only after I have posted this myself. Thank you Flectarn, you are affirming my own values.

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Post by sonofccn » Fri Oct 03, 2008 5:33 pm

Flectarn wrote:Germany is the worlds 3rd largest economy. it's GDP is about a 4th of US's, so yes a fraction. It also has about a quarter of the population.
Germany used to be an industrial juggernought now it's 1/4 to 1/5 the US's GDP. Almost 14 trillion compared to almost 3 trillion.Okay granted thier is a pop differnce but sheer population does not a viberant GDP make.
Germanies unemployment rate is 7.7 or 7.4 percent depending on how you tally it, still high, but not so bad as it had been.
If we have 6% the medi starts blabbing that it's another depression, I'd hate to see what they would do with a 7.4 or greater.
(onlyhalfserious)Plus as you said germany only has 1/4 of the people to find work as America :)(?Onlyhalfserious)
German GDP growth is comparable to the US's
That I do have to conceed. You showed I was wrong.
your statistics are out of date
Yeah but not by that many years or by that much.
Looks like the Germans are doing alright for themselves
For a one time superpower and one of the "Old guard" if I may use that term not really. They are surviving,which I never claimed otherwise, but for such a major player, 3rd largest economy, I'd expect more then that. I'd be very interested in just how large Germany or any european nation for that matter, could grow in say a ten year period if they embraced a more American system.

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Post by sonofccn » Fri Oct 03, 2008 5:57 pm

Who is like God arbour wrote:Bad example
Alright. I only picked it because it happened to be your country,IIRC, feel free to pick any European nation
You are ignoring what a challenge the German reunification is. The "new" federal states didn't have any noteworthy and competitive industry. Their economy was devastated and their currency was worth nothing, while the "old" federal states had one of the most competitive industry and the hardest currency in the world. That was the situation at the German reunification. To rebuild the "new" federal states, the "old" federal states are transferring each year nearly 83'000'000'000 Euro to the "new" federal states. Show me a nation, which can do that for 18 years but can be nevertheless the world-wide leading country in exports.
The closet I can think of off the top of my head I would guess the USA circa 1865 and onward. The south was badly smashed when they "rejoined" the Union and reconstruction continued into the late (18)70's early (18)80's if I'm remembering my history. I'd admit the south nodoubt wasn't quite as bad as east germany after fifty years of commie control but it wasn't in good shape either.
And now to the gross domestic product. I think, you are referring to the USA with the nation that is younger then some of Germany's buildings.
Yes the good old US of A.
But you should consider, that the USA have with a population of circa 305'000'000 nearly four times as many denizens than Germany with a population of 82'000'000. That means, that considering the number of denizens, both economies are nearly equal.
That is only if one assumes that population is the only factor. While I won't deny it plays a part but to assume it's the end all and be all is illogical. By your logic China economy isn't impressive at all because it's only four trillion bigger then you and they have a billion people in it compared to Germany's 82 million.
And another question is, how much of the GDP of the USA consists of empty values, that are lost in the current crisis.
We won't know until this thing hits full force, of course if we fall expect similar drops to yours. The beauty of globilzation no? The whole planet is a deck of cards.
Relevant is, that Germany, the looser of that war, was able to rebuild its industry and become one of the strongest economy of the world again.
That was 60 odd years ago and bear in mind America spent a mountain of loot to rebuild the shattered infastructer. . If you haven't recovered by now your not going too.

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Post by sonofccn » Fri Oct 03, 2008 7:02 pm

Praeothmin wrote:I do agree that Capitalism is the best system for mankind, because it is the best competitive system, and it encourages hard work with the promises of rewards.
Okay were on the same page here.
But it should be a lot better regulated then it is in the USA.
Honestly (and yes, I'm a subjective observer here), I think the best system is found in Canada.
I of course disagree, I know shocker, but I can understand were your coming from. It's just, as another completly subjective observer, am weary of additonal goverment regs. Goverments seem to mess up almost everything they touch,except for the military which couldn't be run by a private industry, atleast not well.
We rarely give house loans to people who can't pay, and rarely loan more then the capacity to pay of a household.
Our Goverment, in it's oh so kind way, really encouraged us to go down the path we took.

I also agree with you on putting some of the blame on the idiots who took out loans they should have known they couldn't pay. It times like these that make you wonder if the gene pool needs more chlorine? :-)

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Post by Who is like God arbour » Sat Oct 04, 2008 6:48 am

sonofccn wrote:
Who is like God arbour wrote: Bad example
Alright. I only picked it because it happened to be your country,IIRC, feel free to pick any European nation
Gross domestic product per capita and worldwide ranking according to the International Monetary Fund:
      1. Luxembourg (104'673 USD)
      2. Norway (83'922)
      3. Qatar (72,849 USD)
      4. Iceland (63'830 USD)
      5. Ireland (59'924 USD)
      6. Denmark (57'261 USD)
      7. Switzerland (58,084 USD)
      8. Sweden (49,655 USD)
      9. Finland (46,602 USD)
      10. Netherlands (46,261 USD)
As you can see, top ten of the nations , who are making the most GDP per capita, are - with the exception of Quatar - European nations.

And yes, the GDP alone is only helpful, if one wants to compare economies alone. But economy does not become an end in itself. What use has a high GDP? People don't work to heighten the GDP of their nation but to improve their individual standard of living or their quality of life.

For example: one nation has 1'000'000 denizens, another nation has 1'000'000'000 denizens. The first nation has a GDP per capita of 100'000 USD and the second nation has a GDP per capita of 100 USD. The bottom line is, that both nations have the same GDP. But guess which nation has the more advanced economy?


sonofccn wrote:
Who is like God wrote: You are ignoring what a challenge the German reunification is. The "new" federal states didn't have any noteworthy and competitive industry. Their economy was devastated and their currency was worth nothing, while the "old" federal states had one of the most competitive industry and the hardest currency in the world. That was the situation at the German reunification. To rebuild the "new" federal states, the "old" federal states are transferring each year nearly 83'000'000'000 Euro to the "new" federal states. Show me a nation, which can do that for 18 years but can be nevertheless the world-wide leading country in exports.
The closet I can think of off the top of my head I would guess the USA circa 1865 and onward. The south was badly smashed when they "rejoined" the Union and reconstruction continued into the late (18)70's early (18)80's if I'm remembering my history. I'd admit the south no doubt wasn't quite as bad as east germany after fifty years of commie control but it wasn't in good shape either.
The difference is, that the USA was then neither a military nor economical superpower. The difference between north and south in the USA then was not nearly as big as the difference between east and west in Germany now.


sonofccn wrote:
Who is like God wrote: But you should consider, that the USA have with a population of circa 305'000'000 nearly four times as many denizens than Germany with a population of 82'000'000. That means, that considering the number of denizens, both economies are nearly equal.
That is only if one assumes that population is the only factor. While I won't deny it plays a part but to assume it's the end all and be all is illogical. By your logic China economy isn't impressive at all because it's only four trillion bigger then you and they have a billion people in it compared to Germany's 82 million.
See above. Chinas economy is still not impressive. They have only a GDP per capita of 16,606 USD. It is still extremely inefficient. But it is growing, what is not difficult. If you are at the bottom, you can only rise. And there is potential. And it could become impressive, if it uses this potential.


sonofccn wrote:
Who is like God wrote: Relevant is, that Germany, the looser of that war, was able to rebuild its industry and become one of the strongest economy of the world again.
That was 60 odd years ago and bear in mind America spent a mountain of loot to rebuild the shattered infastructer. . If you haven't recovered by now your not going too.
We have recoovered. You have mentioned the age of Germany (»This is the econmony that causes Germany to have 10% unemployment(circa 2006 IIRC) stagnated growth, and a GDP a fraction of the size of a country that is younger then some of it's buildings.«). I have merely showed, that the age has nothing to do with Germany's economical succes.





sonofccn wrote:
Praeothmin wrote: I do agree that Capitalism is the best system for mankind, because it is the best competitive system, and it encourages hard work with the promises of rewards.
Okay were on the same page here.
And we are not.
Competition is not the best for mankind. Because while competing, a natural or artificial person will always do, what is it the best for itself, regardless, if that is bad for mankind in the long run. If evolution has showed one thing, than that competition leads sooner or later to the extinction of competitors in the same ecological niche. The same applies to enterprises and economical niches. That will result in the formation of monopolies, which will not encounter competition. That's the direct consequence of laissez-faire capitalism. You can try to prevent this with antitrust agencies. But because they are only national agencies, the international acting enterprises can often bypass those.

Best example is the USA and their effort regarding the prevention or attenuation of the climate change. To not impair the US economy with Climate Change Bills, nothing is done, regardless that, in the long run, mankind will suffer in an extent, that all the economical advancement of the USA from today will become meaningless.

All have known, that oil is limited. But is was used, as if it was unlimited and nearly nobody has thought to invest in the development of alternative energies. Now oil becomes costlier and costlier and we will have an energy crisis. That could have been prevented, if enterprises would have invested in the development of alternative energies - but no, that would not have been profitable enough. Only now, when it is almost to late, real efforts are done. Imagine what would have happened, if the same efforts would have been done after the 1973 oil crisis. In the long run, that would have been better for mankind.

Economy is not the start and beginning, the alpha and omega. It is there to serve mankind and not, that mankind has to serve the economy. Not all, what is good for economy, is good for mankind. That does not mean, that economy is irrelevant. But that insight helps to handle economy and to contain it, where it is necessary.

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Post by 2046 » Sat Oct 04, 2008 3:55 pm

Who is like God arbour wrote:All have known, that oil is limited. But is was used, as if it was unlimited and nearly nobody has thought to invest in the development of alternative energies. Now oil becomes costlier and costlier and we will have an energy crisis. That could have been prevented, if enterprises would have invested in the development of alternative energies - but no, that would not have been profitable enough. Only now, when it is almost to late, real efforts are done. Imagine what would have happened, if the same efforts would have been done after the 1973 oil crisis. In the long run, that would have been better for mankind.
That's just human nature, though, and not a failure of any particular economic system. I don't see China investing in alternative fuels, for example. They're quite content with coal-fired power plants and oil-hungry SUVs these days.

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Post by Flectarn » Sat Oct 04, 2008 4:32 pm

2046 wrote:
Who is like God arbour wrote:All have known, that oil is limited. But is was used, as if it was unlimited and nearly nobody has thought to invest in the development of alternative energies. Now oil becomes costlier and costlier and we will have an energy crisis. That could have been prevented, if enterprises would have invested in the development of alternative energies - but no, that would not have been profitable enough. Only now, when it is almost to late, real efforts are done. Imagine what would have happened, if the same efforts would have been done after the 1973 oil crisis. In the long run, that would have been better for mankind.
That's just human nature, though, and not a failure of any particular economic system. I don't see China investing in alternative fuels, for example. They're quite content with coal-fired power plants and oil-hungry SUVs these days.
yeah, but if anything, china represents an even more purely capitalistic economy than the US (which is Painfully ironic) and has for a couple decades now. Though their tune is starting to change, i'm not sure how much it translates in to action (likely not much) but the rhetoric is at least beginning to focus more on sustainability, which is a start-sort of. What we really need is a "Green Race" between the US and China (and India and the EU)

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Post by Who is like God arbour » Sat Oct 04, 2008 5:54 pm

2046 wrote: That's just human nature ...
That's true, but not the entire truth.

Altruism is also a characteristic to which humans are capable.

The question is if that's a characteristic, which is pro- or demoted in a social system. In capitalism societies it is usually demoted. Capitalism promotes the survival of the fittest through cut-throat competition.

But evolution shows, that this is not always the best way for a species. Altruism, although it is not always beneficial for all individuals, is often adopted by animals and has advantages for the whole species (pack, pride, drove, flock or herd) [1].

Insofar, Altruism is not only a stupid human morally concept, but something, that really exists in nature and promotes the survival of a species.

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Post by 2046 » Sat Oct 04, 2008 6:09 pm

I consider the usual altruism/egoism thinking to be a false dichotomy.

And no, I'm sorry, but any definition of capitalism in which China outranks the US is just wrong.

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Post by Praeothmin » Sat Oct 04, 2008 6:17 pm

WILGA wrote:Competition is not the best for mankind. Because while competing, a natural or artificial person will always do, what is it the best for itself, regardless, if that is bad for mankind in the long run. If evolution has showed one thing, than that competition leads sooner or later to the extinction of competitors in the same ecological niche. The same applies to enterprises and economical niches.
When has any advance ment in anything been made that wasn't the result of competing?
What is the goal of the Olympic games?
What is the goal of any sports?
Why give grades in school?
Competition my friend.
Humans have always thrived upon competition to help encourage them to better themselves.
If you don't compete, how do you know you've improved?
If by working harder, and by being better then your neighbor or competitor, you do not get a better pay, a better way of life, how many people will then advance?

Why else would workforce unions be looked upon with such disdain by a growing number of people?
Because a lot of people in the union feel secure in their job security, their way of life, and don't give their maximum effort anymore, i.e., they don't compete.
That brings an inefficient work force that does little to help improve mankind's way of life or living standard....

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Post by Narsil » Sat Oct 04, 2008 6:39 pm

2046 wrote:And no, I'm sorry, but any definition of capitalism in which China outranks the US is just wrong.
Oh because America's utterly perfect, unstoppable, infallible and ultimately unbeatable isn't it? Oh yes! God bless Spartafreedomerica! War is peace! Freedom is slavery! Ignorance is strength! The Chinese can't suddenly have economic growth which is surpassing America! America will always be at the top of the food chain! America has always been at the top of the food chain! America is perfect!

If you missed the sarcasm, you need a slap.

For the love of god, Robert, and for the appreciation of the fact that your country is not infallible and not the shining beacon of the world, shut up.

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Post by 2046 » Sat Oct 04, 2008 7:48 pm

Narsil wrote:
2046 wrote:And no, I'm sorry, but any definition of capitalism in which China outranks the US is just wrong.
Oh because America's utterly perfect, unstoppable, infallible and ultimately unbeatable isn't it? Oh yes! God bless Spartafreedomerica! War is peace! Freedom is slavery! Ignorance is strength! The Chinese can't suddenly have economic growth which is surpassing America! America will always be at the top of the food chain! America has always been at the top of the food chain! America is perfect!

If you missed the sarcasm, you need a slap.

For the love of god, Robert, and for the appreciation of the fact that your country is not infallible and not the shining beacon of the world, shut up.
What the hell is wrong with you? I made the point that calling a devoutly communist country capitalist was strange (ignoring for the moment the semi-autonomous Hong Kong laxity). Even the US is a mixed economy, but not off in Chinese territory by any means.

You, then, decide to share with us your fantasies of other statements on my part, 1984 wankery, and so on.

You're a very strange, very silly little creature, and you have my pity.

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