Validity of the ICS

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Cpl Kendall
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Post by Cpl Kendall » Sat Aug 11, 2007 9:59 pm

Mike DiCenso wrote:
Maybe initially that was true, Kendall, and to be fair, there is quite a bit of very good research (or attempted research) into SW technology on the SWTC site by Curtis Saxton. But now we have people like Gary Sarli, among others now attempting to to "correct" the AOTC ICS figures by downplaying ISD firepower in other EU literature, among other things. Also interesting in that the ROTS ICS had firepower and power generation figures edited out from it wherever possible. Only a handful of missed hyperspace speed and other figures slipped by.

Why did that happen, I wonder?
None of that invalidates the earlier work done by Dr Saxton.
Except when they don't really, they're just thumping a book around now the same way that Fundamentalist Christians do when claiming Genesis in the Bible is undisputable fact. The fact is that a large group of militant fans hammered their way into power across an ng and a forum, and made it so that reasonable debate and research was impossible.
The Bible is trash fiction, the ICS is a body of work completed by an acknowledged professional in his field. So are you saying that Dr Saxton doesn't know what he was doing and is essentially as intelligent as a primitive Jewish tribesman living thousands of years ago?
Thumping a book as indisputable evidence en-masse is just not the same as having a "majority of facts" on it's side.
See above.
We have gone over your facts here and other forums many times, and have found reasonable counter-evidence in both the OT, PT and EU sources that do not support the wildly over-exaggerated numbers of AOTC ICS.
-Mike
And your points have been roundly condemned by the majority of the VS community, acknowledged professional and certified engineers, and the ICS itself. The point remains that the numbers and the points you raise have all been refuted for years. And the ICS numbers are acknowledged by LFL themselves. This isn't even comperable to the 5KM Executor gaff.

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Post by Mike DiCenso » Sat Aug 11, 2007 9:59 pm

Cpl Kendall wrote:
Mike DiCenso wrote:Email list? Hardly. It's copies of a number of exchanges by the people on said list, though not complete, it is still sufficent to show an interest on Saxton part in Versus debating:


*snip*


Who is this "we" Brian Young speaks of here, and if none but Curtis Saxton was involved in working on AOTC ICS, then why is he stating this?
-Mike
To anyone else this would be inconclusive at best but to you it's evidence of the great Warsie conspiracy. Seriously if you have serious proof that Saxton violated his NDA with LFL than make it. All you've got here is a half-baked theory with no supporting evidence. If you took this to court or to LFL you'd be laughed right out of it.
So you say. But I have no intention of doing any such thing, since slowly but surely saner minds at LFL are already doing the right thing and editing out the googleplex firepower and ship power generation figures (ROTS ICS), as well as having "offical" canon literature which contradicts Saxton (Gary Sarli).

But you still have failed to deal with Brian Young's statement, except to handwave it away with some NDA nonsense and make a highly speculative reaction up for LFL. So again, I respectfully remind you of this statement:

"It is possible that we undercalculated this for the ICS"

Could you please explain this away?
-Mike

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Post by Cpl Kendall » Sat Aug 11, 2007 10:03 pm

Mike DiCenso wrote:
So you say. But I have no intention of doing any such thing, since slowly but surely saner minds at LFL are already doing the right thing and editing out the googleplex firepower and ship power generation figures (ROTS ICS), as well as having "offical" canon literature which contradicts Saxton (Gary Sarli).
Then what's your purpose in persisting with this pointless tirade? Do you just intend to continue to slander Dr Saxton till you die?
But you still have failed to deal with Brian Young's statement, except to handwave it away with some NDA nonsense and make a highly speculative reaction up for LFL. So again, I respectfully remind you of this statement:

"It is possible that we undercalculated this for the ICS"

Could you please explain this away?
-Mike
Why should I bother? It could mean anything.

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Post by Mike DiCenso » Sat Aug 11, 2007 10:15 pm

Mike DiCenso wrote:
Maybe initially that was true, Kendall, and to be fair, there is quite a bit of very good research (or attempted research) into SW technology on the SWTC site by Curtis Saxton. But now we have people like Gary Sarli, among others now attempting to to "correct" the AOTC ICS figures by downplaying ISD firepower in other EU literature, among other things. Also interesting in that the ROTS ICS had firepower and power generation figures edited out from it wherever possible. Only a handful of missed hyperspace speed and other figures slipped by.

Why did that happen, I wonder?
Cpl Kendall wrote:
None of that invalidates the earlier work done by Dr Saxton.
I should think it does! Someone at LFL somewhere doesn't want googleplex firepower figures and ship power generation figures! And Sarli has done work and cited other reasearch which quite readily refudiated Saxton's mistaken concept of what a BDZ is in the original SW WEG literature.

Except when they don't really, they're just thumping a book around now the same way that Fundamentalist Christians do when claiming Genesis in the Bible is undisputable fact. The fact is that a large group of militant fans hammered their way into power across an ng and a forum, and made it so that reasonable debate and research was impossible.
The Bible is trash fiction, the ICS is a body of work completed by an acknowledged professional in his field. So are you saying that Dr Saxton doesn't know what he was doing and is essentially as intelligent as a primitive Jewish tribesman living thousands of years ago?
Nice attempt at mis-direction and strawman arguement, Kendall. The fact is that a large group of misguided militants took Saxton's AOTC ICS and used it as a way of hammering through a faux victory in a debate that actually was quite undecided and capable of going any which way. When the so-called research done in AOTC ICS was questioned, regardless of if it was done so in a valid and scientific manner, the militants attacked viciously at those people and drove them out of the debate all-together, which is often a complaint that many of the members here have.
Thumping a book as indisputable evidence en-masse is just not the same as having a "majority of facts" on it's side.
See above.
See below...
We have gone over your facts here and other forums many times, and have found reasonable counter-evidence in both the OT, PT and EU sources that do not support the wildly over-exaggerated numbers of AOTC ICS.
-Mike
And your points have been roundly condemned by the majority of the VS community, acknowledged professional and certified engineers, and the ICS itself. The point remains that the numbers and the points you raise have all been refuted for years. And the ICS numbers are acknowledged by LFL themselves. This isn't even comperable to the 5KM Executor gaff.
Here we go again with this tired old fallacy. Just who are these acknowledged professional and certified engineering (or any sciences) majorities you speak of outside a handful of (mostly) Pro-Wars types? I see instead people cowed into accepting AOTC ICS more often than not by what amount to the Versus debate equivalent of the Inquistion. And LFL is slowly, but surely stepping back away from the ICS numbers (see Sarli's refudiations of the Saxtonian version of the BDZ and the editing of the ROTS ICS).
-Mike
Last edited by Mike DiCenso on Sat Aug 11, 2007 10:56 pm, edited 3 times in total.

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Post by 2046 » Sat Aug 11, 2007 10:18 pm

Cpl Kendall wrote:
2046 wrote:*snip*
Look I'm going to ask you folks one more time: do you have any evidence, concrete evidence that Saxton violated his NDA and used Wong et all's calculations in the ICS? I am contending that he did not, and I hope your not asking me to prove a negative.
1. You need only provide disproof of the hypothesis. You're not doing so.

2. It's a wonder that we have as much evidence as we do regarding him. There's certainly more than is commonly existent to damn people in the court of public opinion. Where would the tipping point be for you? A smoking-gun confession?

3. Not knowing the precise details of his non-disclosure agreement there's no way to know for sure whether it was violated, but . . . let's face it . . . that subject is of interest only to you here. Nobody here really cares . . . that's not the object of our curiosity. You can threaten with that 'ooh, you guys are gonna be in trouble if you say that' crap, but it isn't like we care about Saxton's NDA with Lucas Licensing.

The evidence for our opinion regarding Saxton's credibility with the ICS and its numbers is based on Saxton's own statements and participations, comparison with reasonable values, and on the quoted statements of others involved.

In other words, graffiti may be illegal, but it's not yet illegal to draw a conclusion.

We certainly have evidence that the calcs of others in the pro-Wars e-mail group were used and that at some point those others were aware that their conclusions went into the ICS, but short of a seizure of computers and polygraphed depositions from all involved one can hardly expect to get straight answers.

Is there a smoking gun sufficient to satisfy you? No, of course not. Are there multiple pieces of evidence more than sufficient to place a reasonable doubt in Saxton's credibility regarding the ICS? Hell yes.
And I see that as usual Darkstar resorts to baffling his opponent with verbage, why don't you just state your case simply?
It's simple enough as it is. Try reading and not snipping.

Anyway, that's more than enough time spent on this old and settled topic.

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Post by Mike DiCenso » Sat Aug 11, 2007 10:24 pm

Mike DiCenso wrote:
So you say. But I have no intention of doing any such thing, since slowly but surely saner minds at LFL are already doing the right thing and editing out the googleplex firepower and ship power generation figures (ROTS ICS), as well as having "offical" canon literature which contradicts Saxton (Gary Sarli).
Cpl Kendall wrote:Then what's your purpose in persisting with this pointless tirade? Do you just intend to continue to slander Dr Saxton till you die?
There is no slander here. The truth is evident here, Kendall, and the point is that Saxton consciously or otherwise chose excessively high firepower and power generation figures for AOTC ICS in the face of all other (significant) evidence to the contrary while being influenced by Versus debator friends of his with a clear cut Pro-Wars agenda.

But you still have failed to deal with Brian Young's statement, except to handwave it away with some NDA nonsense and make a highly speculative reaction up for LFL. So again, I respectfully remind you of this statement:

"It is possible that we undercalculated this for the ICS"

Could you please explain this away?
-Mike
Why should I bother? It could mean anything.
You are in denial. It means precisely what Brian Young ment it to say, and it is quite clear to anyone with a shred of honesty. He's using an inclusive "we" there. Meaning he and other people. Brian and others made calculations for the AOTC ICS either with Saxton or on his behalf. There is no other sensible and reasonable conclusion you could make, especially in the context of the other email postings it came from.
-Mike

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Post by Jedi Master Spock » Sat Aug 11, 2007 10:38 pm

Cpl Kendall wrote:To anyone else this would be inconclusive at best but to you it's evidence of the great Warsie conspiracy. Seriously if you have serious proof that Saxton violated his NDA with LFL than make it. All you've got here is a half-baked theory with no supporting evidence. If you took this to court or to LFL you'd be laughed right out of it.
A little perspective here. The question of whether or not Saxton would have been violating his NDA is also quite dependent on the terms of the NDA in question. IMO, the odds are that he didn't violate his NDA.

Most likely, the NDA covered would cover a list of specific details of the films. Discussing what figures to put in the ICS with several outside consultants, given some incidents with no context and limited details would most likely not be a violation of the NDA.

The fact that nobody outside of a select "cabal," as it has been described in this thread, would have been aware of anything until well after? Well, depending upon how the NDA is set up, and LL's management policies, that may mean that it wouldn't be treated as a violation regardless.

After all, whatever he talked about with them ("pertinent information") was not released to the general public ("viewing audience") before the release of the movie ("the film") or even the publication dates of any other books that Saxton might have had inside information on ("other licensed products").

And if he did violate his NDA - then what? Well, most likely, when - or rather, if - the matter came to light and crossed the desk of whoever's in charge of Lucas Licensing's children's books department, it would simply mean LL would be reluctant to hire him for future work, possibly bound by policy not to. Civil or punitive damages are unlikely in a case like this, and we're not talking about criminal charges here.

Neither LL nor Saxton has an interest in publicizing any breach of the NDA in any case, and if Saxton got no new contracts from LL, we could not be sure in any case, particularly given the recent "Talifan" fiasco and Sarli's comments.

Just a little perspective here.

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Post by Mr. Oragahn » Sat Aug 11, 2007 10:42 pm

Mike DiCenso wrote:Email list? Hardly. It's copies of a number of exchanges by the people on said list, though not complete, it is still sufficent to show an interest on Saxton part in Versus debating:


Brian,

> The bolt hits one side, and superheats it. This superheated material
> superheats the next part, which superheats the next part, until all of
> the mass is superheated. This happens faster than the expansion stress
> can shatter the asteroid.


Mostly right, but needs clarification of the mechanism of heat transfer.

A small mass in the path of the beam receives the initial heat deposit.
This mass expands (due to its overpressure) at a rate that exceeds the
sound speed within the solid. Thus solid matter is swept up by this blast
wave (the correct physics term) without feeling any precursor disturbance.
(The blastwave outruns any vibration or conductive warming.) Kinetic
energy of the expansion is thermalised directly within the upswept
material; it is instantly vaporised at the blastwave if the energy is
great enough.

NB. the mechanism of heat transfer within the asteroid is blastwave
expansion, not passive heat conduction. The expanding gas simply sweeps
up the material in its path, dissociating it at the atomic level upon
contact. In the SW case, there's no chance for solid fragments to
survive.

If you input somewhat less than the vaporisation energy of the whole
asteroid, then the blastwave will grow to the radius where the shock
temperature is diminished below the vaporisation temperature of the rock.
Propagating outwards from that stage: a disruptive shockwave or vibration
in the solid. Fragmentation is likely throughout the surrounding,
surviving solid matter.

If the energy from the weapon is injected too slowly then passive heat
conduction and vibration may be efficient enough to spread the heat
throughout the asteroid without a violent blastwave.

Curtis.

sean:

Lord Poe's correct, though: the asteroid Groumall destroyed with the planetary disruptor is very close to the first asteroid's size--maybe just a hair larger.

I measured the disruptor bolt's size relative to the BoP's keel, right before impact (see McC's "Battle038." Outstanding vidcaps btw, McC!).

As we established, the Bird's engineering hull is about 25m wide. The bolt is easily a fifth that--almost 6m wide by my measurements.

Compare that to McC's "Asteroid09," a frame or two before the bolt actually connects. In that image, I find the


In the above exchange, Saxton clearly has an interest in the Cardassian Freighter Gromall's destruction of an asteroid. Anyone reading the numerous other exchanges will note that the context of all these exchanges is... *gasp*... versus debate between Trek and Wars!

Given the rather apparent open nature of the various exchanges, how could he not know what he was involved with here?

And then there's this quote that still haunts you...


Wayne,

> I'll get some AOTC images, that can be scaled more precisely.

http://www.babtech-onthe.net/download/wayne/
Here are 15 images from the AOTC asteroid chase (temporary link). A few of
these are
successive frames.
Most of these are near misses, and show the scale next to Obi-Wan's fighter.
One shows decent scale against Slave1.
The fighter is about 8x4 meters, so some of these red-glowing asteroids are
10-15 meters in diameter, others are probably 5 or so (eyeball).
Some asteroids fragmented, others vaporized. But these that are glowing
red, and are still roughly spherical, satisfy the lower limits we calculate.
5 meters- ~4 terajoules (1 kiloton)
10 meters- ~30 terajoules (7 kilotons)
15 meters- ~106 terajoules (25 kilotons)
It is possible that we undercalculated this for the ICS, or some of the
larger ones may have been hit twice
.
Things happen so fast, it's hard to
tell even frame by frame. But the scaling here is more reliable than most
of the ones in TESB, they all either fragmented or vaporized (most of them),
and this is fighter-scale weaponry. These things make it a better
comparison to Trek.

Two asteroids in TESB must be on the order of 40 meters:
http://www.stardestroyer.net/tlc/Power/bigasteroid.jpg
http://www.stardestroyer.net/tlc/Power/asteroids9.jpg
These both turned white-hot, remained roughly spherical (limited
fragmentation), and vaporized. That would take at least 2000 terajoules
(475 kilotons).

Brian


Who is this "we" Brian Young speaks of here, and if none but Curtis Saxton was involved in working on AOTC ICS, then why is he stating this?
-Mike
O_o

Is that genuine?

Because if it is, not only does it clarly shows Saxton's involvment, and at least, sufficient interest in vs debates, but Brian's slip would also suggest that Saxton broke his NDA.
Brian's words are most puzzling.




Cpl Kendall wrote:
Mr. Oragahn wrote:
Or:

3) He used Wong's, others' and his own calculations in the ICS, which ended, for some reasons, unnecassarily beefing up Wars, with little concern about fitting with previously known envidence, nor with movies, nor about even abiding by scientific rules he's supposed to follow, in that one should always seek the most simple explanation. (ex: turbolaser nature explanation)

Besides, what about not always seek and favour upper limits?
He doesn't seem to care about that either. (ex: 900 km wide DSII)
All of which would have violated his None Disclosure Agreement with LFL. Which if they found out about would have left him open to fical repurcussions and would throw the validity of his work in doubt. Do you understand what a NDA is and why a professional would do his up most to keep it. If you have proof that he violated it than make it. Serious proof, not unfounded ramblings and slanderous accusations.
1. No, in this case, it would not mean he has violated the NDA he signed with LFL, but that he did used other people's calcs for his work. This solution does not say that he had other people participate to the creation of the ICS.

If you were a bit less defensive, you'd have seen that this option wasn't claiming he broke his NDA.

2. I understand what a NDA. As a matter of fact, I happened to sign one with one of the richest, wealthiest and most powerful companies to exist on Earth. So I fully understand the implications and ramifications of breaking such contracts.

The "vast majority" of debators either moved out of debates as a whole (where are those many SB key members which don't seem there anymore since 2002?), or still dispute those figures, or resigned instead of wasting time arguing with brickwalls.
The others just appear misinformed on many things, or occupy the room left, repeating the same inanities found on SDN.
So where are these people that dispute these figures? All I see are the people that occupy SFJ and the odd troll or misinformed youth that wanders into SDN in the summer.
Those who dispute the figures are here, at least.
They still were seen at Spacebattles in the early 2002.
I must applaud how Wong's doctrine, and how his sockpuppets managed to enforce, with so much success, the idea that once the ICS says something, it's not to be disputed, and all other EU contradicting sources are to be dismissed.
Ever consider that perhaps these sources are right and you just so happen to be screeching into the wind?
I did, but I don't see evidence that I'm screeching into the wind.
Saxton's work on the Technical Commentaries was so good that he was contracted to do the ICS.
Yes, his work is, at last, very informative, though inacurrate from time to time - especially more since he reshaped his comments to fit with his latest views for 2020.
We can see, for example, how he went from the 270 km wide DSII for the 900 km wide one.
With no good reason, that is.
IF LFL thought his work was so out to lunch do you think that he would have been offered the job?
I'm not in LFL's heads. This extrapolation is not important. There could be plenty of reasons why they took him instead of another.
The main one would probably be the combination of this:

Big site.
PhD.
Fan of Star Wars.

Without weighing the other elements. Possibly because lots of people at LFL don't understand a shit about what Saxton says, or didn't even consult other LFL members to know if someone else was better suited for this task.

Besides, who cares about what the so called majority thinks? It does certainly not make your position better, nor right.
When the majority has the facts on it's side it certainly does.
Yes, *when* being the key word. That majority of some doesn't seem to, however.
Then, please, engage the conversations, make points, prove yourself right, provide evidence, instead of talking about how we're just so delusional and dead wrong, disconnected from reality.
I'll keep that in mind.
We're waiting for you. Anyone is free to participate, as long as it's constructive, sufficiently honest and respectful.
Last edited by Mr. Oragahn on Sat Aug 11, 2007 10:53 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Post by Who is like God arbour » Sat Aug 11, 2007 10:49 pm

I think that the whole debate doesn't lead to anything.

Everyone has its own opinion and propably won't change it.

My opinion is that the AotC ICS is not trustworthy.

I say only ACCLAMATOR WEAPONS.

Maybe one could show me the 12 heavy guns with 200 gigatons per shot, the ACCLAMATOR should have - according to the AotC ICS.

The AotC ICS is supposed to explain the technology of the in the movie shown vessels - and not any vessels that weren't shown in the movie - but only - if at all - described in the EU.

That allone shows the true reliability of it.

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Post by Cpl Kendall » Sat Aug 11, 2007 11:00 pm

Well I think that's quite enough time spent on this stupidity. As much as I disagree with Darkstar, he has a point. I see no reason to go on for another ten pages. Gents you have my thanks for the debate and my well wishes.

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Post by Mike DiCenso » Sat Aug 11, 2007 11:11 pm

[Brian Young email quotation snipped]

Mr. Oragahn wrote:

O_o

Is that genuine?

Because if it is, not only does it clarly shows Saxton's involvment, and at least, sufficient interest in vs debates, but Brian's slip would also suggest that Saxton broke his NDA.
Brian's words are most puzzling.
As far as I know, it is for real. It was copied off of Wayne Poe's own directory. This is the one thing that clinched it for me, and I suspect for Robert as well, too. I remain open to Kendall or Wayne or anyone to give a reasonable explanation for Brian's statement here.

As for Saxton violating his NDA, I would kindly direct your attention to JMS' reasonable thoughts on the matter. At worst Curtis Saxton could just claim everyone on the list as necessary consultants, and the matter would be probably be dropped

However, as JMS says, it would be nice if we knew the particulars of Saxton's NDA here, instead of it just being tossed around to try and intimidate people.
Then, please, engage the conversations, make points, prove yourself right, provide evidence, instead of talking about how we're just so delusional and dead wrong, disconnected from reality.
I'll keep that in mind.
We're waiting for you. Anyone is free to participate, as long as it's constructive, sufficiently honest and respectful.
I most whole-heartedly agree with this. SFJ forum wasn't made so that all of us could form a little group-think of our own. It was made so that people could really discuss the Versus debate outside of the oppressive atmosphere that has taken over and destroyed enjoyable debates on SB, SDN and ASVS. I think you'll find Kendall, that like on the old Strek-v-SWars.Net forum from a couple years back, that debates here are just as spirited and fun precisely because people are not restricted into worrying about someone quashing anything which deviates from the Party Line.
-Mike

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Post by Cpl Kendall » Sat Aug 11, 2007 11:29 pm

Mike DiCenso wrote:
I most whole-heartedly agree with this. SFJ forum wasn't made so that all of us could form a little group-think of our own. It was made so that people could really discuss the Versus debate outside of the oppressive atmosphere that has taken over and destroyed enjoyable debates on SB, SDN and ASVS. I think you'll find Kendall, that like on the old Strek-v-SWars.Net forum from a couple years back, that debates here are just as spirited and fun precisely because people are not restricted into worrying about someone quashing anything which deviates from the Party Line.
-Mike
I have found that SDN, despite it's atmosphere doesn't quash dissent. Rather it encourages you to present your opinions in a well thought out, logical manner. UNfortunatly most people that choose too argue the points you make choose to do so in a trollish manner and wind up banned. I will say that it doesn't help to be snowed under with a thousand replies from the peanut gallery. Really if one wants to make a concerted effort to form a reasoned and intelligent VS debate one should set it up so there is a dedicated thread with limited parties (ie: the idiot brigade is forbidden to enter) and go from there. I've seen it happen a few times but most people don't have the foresight. I've thought of issuing a similar challenge to you Mike on the Saxton issue but I've shelved it for now.

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Post by Who is like God arbour » Sat Aug 11, 2007 11:34 pm

Cpl Kendall wrote:Well I think that's quite enough time spent on this stupidity. As much as I disagree with Darkstar, he has a point. I see no reason to go on for another ten pages. Gents you have my thanks for the debate and my well wishes.
Hey, you could have at least adressed my heavy guns - argument.

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Post by Cpl Kendall » Sat Aug 11, 2007 11:43 pm

Who is like God arbour wrote:
Hey, you could have at least adressed my heavy guns - argument.
Well I have two issues with that post:

1) There's nothing indicating it's adressed to me.

2) It's so badly formatted and riddled with gramatical errors that it makes no sense. I'm sorry, I mean no offense and I understand that English isn't your first language but I can't make any sense of it.

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Post by Who is like God arbour » Sun Aug 12, 2007 12:00 am

Cpl Kendall wrote:
Who is like God arbour wrote:
Hey, you could have at least adressed my heavy guns - argument.
Well I have two issues with that post:

1) There's nothing indicating it's adressed to me.

2) It's so badly formatted and riddled with gramatical errors that it makes no sense. I'm sorry, I mean no offense and I understand that English isn't your first language but I can't make any sense of it.
Ok, I can try to say it otherwise.

The AotC ICS is supposed to show and explain vessels which could be seen in the movie.

It shows the ACCLAMATOR and says that it has 12 heavy guns with 200 gigatons per shot.

But we have not only seen not one single shot from an ACCLAMATOR in the movie, we couldn't even see any heavy guns.

This oddity was already adressed in the thread ACCLAMATOR - weapons.

This example shows that the AotC ICS is not reliable because it isn't based on the movie - as it is supposed to do - but on other sources.

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