Kane Starkiller wrote:Mr. Oragahn wrote:Magnetic fields are relevant to flares, although not everything is understood, and that was my point.
Yes however that in no way explains how you think a magnetic field could explain the focus of the jet.
I mentioned magnetic fields as part of the process in normal conditions.
The... thing... that came to life in Echoes is totally abnormal, and I'm afraid nothing would explain that. It happened before, and would happen again, that's all we know for fact.
Mr. Oragahn wrote:Oh, sure, you want me to explain why
that is total BS?
No way. It's all too obvious on its own.
How is it obvious? What part do you consider to be physically impossible?
*sigh*
Pretty much anything from the way the stream bounces off the shield to the blobs that drift away, etc. I find it amusing how you're using an utmost absolute stance on physics to appreciate the implication of such events, but fail to see the issues in the video and the way the VFX team portrayed a stream of fiery protons being diverted by an ovoid surface.
Mr. Oragahn wrote:The first suggestion is not going to work since the living conditions are obviously Earth-like, so it gets the same intensity of energy, and the second one is hard to sustain with a star that looks
like this (that's from Echoes as well).
The system itself apparently was capable of sustaining the life on two worlds.
Second planet. I didn't check it myself so take this as you want.
The living conditions are close enough so that we can't see any difference. Again it is entirely possible the Ozone layer is thinner combined with lower UV radiation from the star under standard conditions. I didn't say the intensity is lesser but that the fraction of the UV and higher spectrum radiation is lower.
Based on what exactly, aside from you reaching to find an excuse to dismiss the figures?
Mr. Oragahn wrote:It's an exceptional event that already occured before, so it doesn't matter. It's a fact, such things happen in this star system.
And I think that your goal doesn't match the reality of the episode either.
Thus far, we have studied all aspects of the phenomenon, trying to establish the required energies for each type of radiation, or particle emission, in order to know what would irradiate someone to 500 Sv, due to the exposion to this exceptional event.
One important thing to note is that from the former link, it says that people get hit with a total of 2.3 millisieverts per year.
This would mean that on the sum of sunlight and particles that hit the top atmosphere, a stupidly small fraction of this actually happens to correspond to ionizing energies.
Compare this with the 500 Sv people would be subjected to.
That's a factor of 217,391.3.
Every single angle of study has proved that your figures were too low. Your 3.2 GW of protons was millions of times too low. Sunglight based figures proved, at the very least, to be 10 times too low, and that was working from 999 TW. Study of other wavelengths proved that factors would be greater than ten, and that was when working with energy intensity, without checking if such energies would actually result into any considerable radiation. Considering the total of Sv we get every year, those figures obviously appear to be way too low below the acceptable values.
Not to say that the ratios only got incredibly higher when working with shorter wavelengths.
That is where we are, with shielding figures sitting at the very least in the petawatt range.
Yes it occurred before and will likely occur again just like volcanoes, tornadoes, earthquakes, hurricanes. That doesn't mean that we'll always be able to accurately predict the final energy released by those events.
The ship's bow was suffering extensive damage. It's a ship that uses trinium, 100 stronger than steel, plus perhaps some naqahdah (think of the enduring stargates as an example).
We know that iron's specific heat starts at 0.45 J/g/C°, is also close enough to steel's, and steel melts at 1535 C°.
Specific heat can climb to 0.65 J/C° per gram at 800 C, and up to 0.72 J/C° per gram at 1400 C, but let's keep the low end value for this, and pretend that we start at 0°C.
For the heat of fusion, 1 kg of steel turns to liquid with 272 kJ.
Low end energy needed to melt 1 kg of steel: E_low = 0.45 e3 x 1535 + 272 e3 = 962,750 J.
A value that is interesting to compare to
those.
A very low low end, since it usually takes a couple of megajoules to achieve this in reality. We can, for the sake of simplicity, work with a melting energy of 1 MJ/kg.
Densities of steel.
7.86 g/cc (pure iron), for a 1 m² plate that would be 10 centimeter thick, would weigh 786 kg. So that's 786 MJ to melt it, and therefore 78,600 MJ to melt the same volume of a trinium (and perhaps alloyed with naqahdah) plate. And of course twice that if the plate is twice as thick. Plus the fact that it's a very low end.
The hull was taking damage. Even one of the F-302 bay took damage.
Should we believe that the shield is so miserable that on the 3.2 GW it's taking, it can't even prevent enough energy from spilling through so much as to deposit 78.6 GJ/m² anywhere onto the hull?
I mean, even if we take the figure for steel, 768 MJ /m² for plates 10 cm thick, and work from the intensity of the stream, which is 100 meters wide, and has a crosssection's area of 7.8540 e3, we get 407.44 KW/m² for the intensity of the stream's crosssection.
To get an intensity of 768 MJ/m² on the hull, assuming the shield stopped nothing, it would take 1884.94 seconds for the metal to reach the required temperature and energy level (that of course without counting the metal shedding heat to nearby plates and inwards over that time).
That's 31.41 minutes.
If the shield stops 90% of the energy, then 40.744 KW/m² gets through, and it takes ten times longer, or 5.23 hours.
And finally, it takes 52.3 hours if the shield only lets 1% of the energy pass through.
That's for steel, not even the trinium-naqahdah alloy that's used, which would require increasing power figures by two OoMs.
We could also compare this calculation to
this event.
And that's not counting the fact that we're talking about a stream of more "simplistic" matter, which contrary to photons, especially high energy ones, will be coming into contact with the atmosphere and react like matter does, the atmosphere adopting the behaviour of a barrier: the faster something hits a fluid, the harder the fluid acts against the penetrating element.
You calculated a density of e-14 kg/m³ for the stream in the corona. But what about
momentum? There are asteroids which weigh more than thousands of kilos per cubic meter and which get blasted by the atmosphere if they come too fast and too sharply into it. How are particles, coming in faster, but the overall mass they represent being extremely more diffuse, ever get anywhere deep enough?
I don't even recall we tried to estimate how much energy the stream would radiate as heat on its way to Lantea btw. At 4000 km/s, it would take 37,399.5 to cover 1 AU.
That's a lot of time for a plasma to cool down naturally during its trip.
This may prove interesting, as well as an important factor to your figure, since you assume that the 3.2 GW in the coronal region will not be lost to some degree when hitting Lantea.
A degree which may be significant.
Normally humans receive only 2.3 mSv/year because the total fraction of the high EM radiation compared to total EM radiation of the sun is extremely low. A high energy event would likely emit a much higher percentage of it's energy in high EM spectrum thus irradiating humans without the need for the total energy to rise orders of magnitude.
Ah? Do you have a relevant absorption figure for infrareds?
Again your petawatt figure relies on McKay being right and it's quite obviously wrong since there is no way for natural processes on the surface of the star to somehow compress that kind of energy in radius of 50m.
It doesn't matter, because it already happened before, and McKay was convinced that based on what he knew of the star and the precedent event, 50,000 rems could be delivered to the planet by starting out as a stream narrow enough to be intercepted by the shield of a 304.
So science or not, this funky star made it happen once already.
Mr. Oragahn wrote:The jet would have no reason to depart before the collapse. The collapse was the likely result of the build up of energy.
Pure assumptions on your part.
Why would the jet depart for the planet if what maintained it in place didn't collapse yet, exactly?
McKAY: It's a coronal mass ejection on a scale that dwarfs anything our sun has ever emitted. Apparently the sun in this solar system goes through an unusually turbulent sunspot cycle every fifteen thousand years or so. The Ancients have records of this class of CME occurring twice before.
SHEPPARD: The ship was very close to the sun when it happened.
McKAY: It's a massive prominence. It arced up and then collapsed when the magnetic field surrounding it weakened. We're talking an intense proton stream travelling at over four thousand kilometres per second.
And...
McKAY: The magnetic field around it is already beginning to weaken.
When that prominence collapses, the coronal mass ejection will occur. It'll erupt from a very small area – a mere pinprick in comparison to the total sun's surface, but it'll immediately begin to fan out. Within a few million miles, the blast wave will cut a swathe wide enough to take out this entire planet.
SHEPPARD: How much time do we have?
ZELENKA: The prominence will collapse any moment now. After that, we have less than an hour before the radiation wave hits us.
Mr. Oragahn wrote:That is typically wrong, for the simple fact that such flare would fail to provide the necessary radiation energies.
At this point, you can consider the debate settled, and get ready for a broken disc mode.
This debate started running in circles the moment you started responding to my calculations with subjective comments like "it's weird", "obviously wrong" and elevating McKays predictions (which by his own admission were anything but precise) above the observed events in the episode.
A proton stream of 3.2 GW wouldn't even threaten Earth, even if it entirely deposited its energy and heated up the surface (again, 3.2 e9 W / 2.55 e14 m², we get much more via mere sunlight alone).
Just as much as you tried to downplay the importance of EMR by claiming that Lantea has little ozone and the sun emits very little UV, you should perhaps also pretend that the planet has little atmosphere and a weak magnetic field, so that would explain how it can survive to the weaker cosmic rays as well, and thus be threatened by 3.2 GW of protons.
Mr. Oragahn wrote:There But For the Grace of God. A Ha'tak destroys some cities on the East coast. Ships were, for all intents and purposes, working on the same principles. All weapons did. Realities were extremely close to each other.
I already covered this during our Star Trek discussion. The fact that Ha'tak was mentioned to drop an equivalent of 200MT nuke on a city doesn't mean it's shields are rated at 200MT/s or that it's standard weapons are 200MT any more than Ohio class submarine can withstand 1MT point blank initiations.
I didn't claim 200 MT/s for the shield, but clearly, a ship that can fire that much energy, even if only once in a while, would have no reason not to fire energy in that region, even just 10% of this, when fighting against another Ha'tak, especially when we see them exchanging bolts without one shooting each other. In a matter or life or death, no one would have a reason to hold back.
Hell, the same logic would still apply if they only fired 1 megaton of energy, or even one kiloton, which is still 312.5 seconds at 3.2 GW.
Of course, this is evidence from another episode, and I would refer to Enemies, where a bog standard Ha'tak sits close to a bright blue giant. With the Ha'tak sitting one diameter away from the photosphere, we have a total of 3 radii, each radius being, for a low power blue giant, 7 times greater than Sol's, which is R_sol = 6.955 e8 m.
So that's a final radius of 1.46055 e10 m². Surface area at that distance would therefore be 2.6807 e21 m².
A low end luminosity would be 25 times Sol's, 25 x 3.846 e26 W, L_bg = 9.615 e27 W.
The intensity, one diameter away from the photosphere, would be 3,586,749 W/m².
Dimensions of a Ha'tak. They're sort of low end, but I never consider a Ha'tak larger than ~700 meters. It doesn't mean the VFX people don't fuck the scales up regularly though.
Shield dimensions.
The ship's width I use is 675.88 m, and the height is 255.9 meters.
The dimensions of the shield are those above, times 1.06. It's an oblate spheroid.
Width: 716 m.
Height: 271 m. (shield height would actually be greater since the base of the pyramidal core would stick out of the shield otherwise).
That's a SA of 1,011,141 m². Taking half of it, 505,570 m².
So the shield takes a total of 1,813,352,691,930 W.
1.813 TW.
With the added fact that if it can sit that close to a blue giant for ten hours (and one hour without shields), it has no reason to be threatened by a solar flare from a star of the main sequence close to ours.
Finally, a BC-304 rates higher than this super low end, and even more with a ZPM.
Mr. Oragahn wrote:What am I supposed to do with a source of light which width is but a fraction of the Battlecrab's wingspan?
See the beam's width right ontop of the sort of fireball. Scales are FUBAR. Same with the episode where Centauri ships attack the Narn planet.
Same with the Warhammer 40,000K Firewarrior cutscene, and so many other cases across all SF.
I'm excruciatingly pained that people working on expensive high tech 3D tools like Maya or XSI can't even understand that.
I don't see where is the problem. The beam points away from the camera and towards the planet below and behind the ship and is then obscured by the glare. Thus we don't see it taper off in the distance.
Huh. It barely tappers for 99.99% of its whole length. Scales are fucked up. Period. It makes that rockball smaller than a fraction of the Death Star.
And I recall that there were circular structures being hit there, on the ground, and it didn't look big either. Don't you have a video or pictures of this?
What is the problem with Centauri ship attacks?
A problem of scale as well. Bombs supposedly reaching the atmosphere, and then the surface. Both contradicted by their ejection speed and their size before they explode.
Mr. Oragahn wrote:McKay saw no problem in claiming that even a blast of protons that would contribute to irradiation of people up to 50,000 rems would be narrow enough to be stoppped by a 304, regardless of the ship surviving or not.
This simply means your calcs don't fit with the episode. Period.
Are you claiming that McKay is omniscient? That he can't possibly wrong and I right? You could squeeze 50,000 rems over long enough time period and power which ultimately McKay didn't know. He himself was not at all convinced that Dadealus could withstand the firepower and the ship's hull started getting blown off. What if the jet was 10% more powerful and had a 10% greater duration? It was a desperate move and they got lucky.
That's not the point. The point is that in this universe, with this star, a blast delivering 50,000 rems could be narrow enough to be stopped by a 304's shield.
Even if it lasted 23 hours, 3.2 GW would provide a total 264.96 e12 J.
Mr. Oragahn wrote:No, 100 m.
How exactly would it reach Earth then? Or are you saying jet's crossection is actually a toroid or something?
I'm suggesting that at the time it hit the ship, it was some kind of super-toroid. That's just a wild guess.
I also read about solar tornadoes that look like tubes of twirling fire. Anyway, it doesn't matter, because it's a fact in that universe, such bizarre things can take place.
Mr. Oragahn wrote:You are assuming the total energy was fixed. McKay originally from a figure, but he never said that was a maximum, like he never said it was a minimum.
You're also assuming he knew of the power of the stream at that very moment, while the stream had just begun hitting the ship. And if that wasn't enough, you're assuming the power would be constant.
So he didn't know either the total duration or power but you claim he knew the total energy? You are welcome to prove that.
Can we treat the episode as if it was Rodney's first time in a 304? Before coming up with a plan, he'd first want to know what the ship is at the very least capable of.
Mr. Oragahn wrote:Flares are something natural. So are CMEs, and that star is obviously one of a kind.
All these whales were gathering underneath Atlantis. They wouldn't do such a thing just to get some protection from a solar fart rated at 3.2 GW of protons.
This is the exact same argument Mike DiCenso uses with Relics: strange one of a kind star. None of this changes the obvious limitations on stellar power intensity and flare densities.
Yes it does, because it did happen, and with what McKay had at hand's reach, he knew that such a stream could exist, no matter how baffling it is.
I already dealt with whales: they sensed a flare and flare did happen. None of this changes the question of whether they could predict the total radiation. If the total width of the jet was only, say, 100km when it hit Earth they would still come to Atlantis for protection wouldn't they?
The whales would just need to take a dive to get cover from the UV (12%/5 meters) and those whales were rather very smart, with extremely good genetic memories about something that occurs every 15 millenia.
Mr. Oragahn wrote:Sorry if I actually forgot that bit. It doesn't sound really intuitive, nor logical, really.
Really? Not logical? Even though US and Russian navies do it all the time with their missiles?
They are regulated, ordered not to use nuclear weapons. The UFP slinging antimatter weapons completely nixes this idea and makes your claim ridiculous. There's not much difference, on such terms, between a punchy kiloton warhead and a low megaton one.
Mr. Oragahn wrote:Says who? And why would they cap their torps way under the yields they use to blast asteroids? Especially when it often takes several torps to get rid of a ship?
Says the independent events that put upper limit on ship's durability. They would install less massive warheads to improve the chances of it reaching the target without being shot down.
I don't see where less massive warheads would help, when the room that's allowed for warheads is already very small, and we're talking about a few kilos of M/AM more to get yields in the megatons.
In other words, compared to the speeds the torps are capable of: peanuts.
Asteroid isn't going anywhere not to mention that I'm no convinced Star Trek asteroid blasting incidents point to multimegaton yields.
Conservative calcs can lead to such numbers. You can always look through this website and get them, and bump the threads in question if you want to, any valid criticism being more than welcomed.
Mr. Oragahn wrote:That's something new to me. Arguments I never read. Torpedo casings have always been more or less of the same calibre.
Yes casings not warheads. We see them installing 54 isoton warheads in a torpedo casing in "Omega" and then Janeway comes and tells them to increase the yield to 80 isotons and then they take the warhead out.
They were going to destroy a pack of those Omega particles.
That said, as I have observed myself, the depiction of power of those OP isn't that consistent.
You can, for example, check out an alien lab/base on the ground of some planet, which got blown up by such particles leaking. The degree of destruction is not exactly that awesome.
Mr. Oragahn wrote:There is no evidence that they use larger warheads to blast asteroids.
If those asteroids are in the megaton range and ships get destroyed by TW-TJ range power/energies and we see ships take several photon torpedoes without being destroyed than that is obvious evidence the asteroid blasting photon torpedoes were more powerful.
Yes, but then, again, I don't see any valid reason as to why they wouldn't use more powerful warheads for naval combat.